BC GOVERNMENT
Saved by @CodyyyGardner

The Government is making the same mistakes as it did in the first wave. Except with knowledge.

A thread.

 The Government's strategy at the beginning of the pandemic was to 'cocoon' the vulnerable (e.g. those in care homes). This was a 'herd immunity' strategy. This interview is from March.

https://t.co/UHDUTzDNkz
This strategy failed. It is impossible to 'cocoon' the vulnerable, as Covid is passed from younger people to older, more vulnerable people.

We can see this playing out through heatmaps. e.g. these heatmaps from the second wave.

https://t.co/EiYNLEIhQ3
The Government then decided to change its strategy to 'preventing a second wave that overwhelms the NHS'. This was announced on 8 June in Parliament.

This is not the same as 'preventing a second wave'.

https://t.co/DPWiJbCKRm
The Academy of Medical Scientists published a report on 14 July 'Preparing for a Challenging Winter' commissioned by the Chief Scientific Adviser that set out what needed to be done in order to prevent a catastrophe over the winter period.

https://t.co/T4HGsQJ5M8
Around this time, the Great Barrington Declaration was published. This changed the rhetoric from 'herd immunity' to 'focused protection'.

This was and remains non-mainstream from a scientific point of view, but was popular amongst a group of commentators

https://t.co/X7EiNhMh1T
Cases were increasing rapidly, and SAGE (the Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies) called for a 'circuit breaker'.

https://t.co/M3Mh8UVdxh
At the same time, a focused protection-supporting group of scientists were invited to Downing Street to present the alternate view. Politically, this enabled this headline to be written.

https://t.co/GDxBEx6Yiu
Cases grew. Another tier system was introduced to attempt to control the virus.

https://t.co/prKsIKqNh9
In a fantastic acheivement of science, the Pfizer/BioNTech vaccine was approved on 3 December https://t.co/BZwQ3ykzrz.

Since then, the Oxford/AstraZeneca and Moderna vaccines have been approved.
A new variant was discovered with increased transmissibility. This caused a 'lockdown' as the NHS was now in crisis mode and there was 'a material risk of the NHS in several areas being overwhelmed'. The Government's second strategy is failing.

https://t.co/3eTVHXtbkm
However, this 'lockdown' is not stringent. Many more people are allowed to send their children to school allowing the virus to mix in children and their parents.

https://t.co/mjdbnwHqC2
The Prime Minister made a strange comment on 6 January. The word 'cocoon' was back. Remember that from March?

https://t.co/MzC6O5psQs
Matt Hancock has now given an interview setting out the Government's new, third, strategy

https://t.co/n2SKYx8WFN
The strategy is about 'manageable risk'. Risk to those that may die or live with the effects of catching Covid, or risk to the Government?
We are now back to vaccinating the vulnerable - focused protection if you will.
It appears that the Government has adopted a hybrid strategy - vaccination for the 'vulnerable', and herd immunity or focused protection for those that are not. There is no discussion of vaccinating children and the under-50s.

It is clear that many more lives will be lost.

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First, it helps to know where we are in the budget process. From today through Feb. 24, the council will meet about the General Fund budget. The council will then agree on a budget with their changes (if any); 15 days after doing so, they can vote to make the budget official.


In other words, there’s still time to use your voice! The #refundcleveland tool can help. Create the #CLEBudget you want and send it to your council member. Click “Change the Budget” on the homepage and follow the on-screen instructions from there.

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Thread:
I'm thinking about Tim Keller's influence.

There is the curious fact that Keller is well-regarded among the culture elite (or at least has not suffered the sort of vilification one might expect given his influence). How can we explain this?

Looking at Prodigal God and other writings, you see that his approach to urban ministry is deeply political in a way that appeals to Democrat-heavy cities. It involves two moves:

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For 25 years, the GOP has had almost exclusive control of the FL legislature & admin.

It fashioned every law it could to advantage Republicans, gerrymandered at a bionic level & stymied popular efforts to increase voter participation such as restoration of felon voting rights.

During that same time, the FL GOP poured MILLIONS into turning the state party into a sophisticated, permanent, well-funded voter contact machine.

This gave GOP candidates two massive advantages: 1) they didn’t have to spend on selling the GOP position, 2) all of

in-state messaging got backed up by the RNC, and most importantly, the constant drum beat of Fox News.

There is no biological way to overstate the advantage that Fox News gives to Republicans in red states. MSNBC is NOT the opposite of Fox News.

MSNBC does not structure its programming around whipping up white grievance and fear. Whereas Fox News is the propaganda arm of the RNC, MSNBC is the left leaning version of CNN, not the DNC.

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In FL, Dem candidates spend a inordinate amount of time debunking Fox News lies, even to died in the wool Dems.

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