UCP ministers and MLAs have been given the talking points that Albertans are right to be angry (no kidding!), but that they will work hard to ‘rebuild’ our trust. Considering everything they’ve said and done in the last few years, there is no reason to ever trust them, but 1/12

here is my list of what I would need to see happen before I could even consider it. ALL of this:
1. Tell us right now who else travelled out of province for the holidays. Everyone. We know there are more. By waiting for them to be discovered, especially those who already 2/12
denied it, trust is further eroded. If that means more cabinet ministers have to resign, so be it. Why should this all fall on one when others are guilty?
2. Pass the recall legislation. You promised. It’s time. And it better be feasible and possible to use. 3/12
3. Put the doctors’ contract back in place. You were wrong. No excuses.
4. Answer ?s in the #ableg when NDP asks. That’s their job. Every time you deflect, repeat your talking points, or turn it into an insult to the opposition, trust is eroded. Just answer the questions 4/12
5. Consider amendments the opposition proposes, and accept them if they clarify or improve the legislation. Always rejecting them on principle does not build trust. Gaslighting about why they are not needed does not build trust. 5/12
6. Remember that you were elected to represent ALL Albertans, not just the ones who voted for you or who gave you big campaign donations. Start acting like it.
7. Return control of teacher pensions to ATRF.
6/12
8. Get rid of the War Room or at least make it FOIPable. Spending a teacher or nurse’s salary every day to run this international embarrassment when we don’t know what they’re even doing does not build trust.
7/12
9. Stop installing panels of your cronies to reach pre-determined outcomes and hiding behind them because you are too cowardly to do it yourselves.
10. Stop all this CPP nonsense. It’s NOT better for us and you know it.
8/12
11. Stop trying to gaslight Albertans into thinking there is anything like a majority who want an Alberta police force.
12. While you’re at it, stop impeding the RCMP investigation into the UCP leadership race. We deserve to know what happened and who was involved. If that 9/12
results in MLAs or even the premier being forced to resign, so be it. How can you ask us to trust you when that’s still out there?
13. Fire the racist(s) overseeing the curriculum, and get teachers involved again. Listen to them. The only ‘ideology’ in there is yours. 10/12
14. Direct your issues managers and press secretaries to stop trolling and gaslighting people on social media. Let them honestly and politely answer questions and that’s it.
15. Stop looking for ways to take money from AISH, public service and others to fix the budget. 11/12
That’s a long list, and I’m sure there are many other things (feel free to add!). But that is an absolute *minimum* before I could associate anything like the word ‘trust’ with UCP.
12/12

More from Government

How does a government put a legislation on 'hold'? Is there any constitutional mechanism for the executive to 'pause' a validly passed legislation? Genuine Koshan.


So a committee of 'wise men/women' selected by the SC will stand in judgement over the law passed by


Here is the thing - a law can be stayed based on usual methods, it can be held unconstitutional based on violation of the Constitution. There is no shortcut to this based on the say so of even a large number of people, merely because they are loud.


Tomorrow can all the income tax payers also gather up at whichever maidan and ask for repealing the income tax law? It hurts us and we can protest quite loudly.

How can a law be stayed or over-turned based on the nuisance value of the protestors? It is anarchy to allow that.
Which metric is a better predictor of the severity of the fall surge in US states?

1) Margin of Democrat victory in Nov 2020 election
or
2) % infected through Sep 1, 2020

Can you guess which plot is which?


The left plot is based on the % infected through Sep 1, 2020. You can see that there is very little correlation with the % infected since Sep 1.

However, there is a *strong* correlation when using the margin of Biden's victory (right).

Infections % from
https://t.co/WcXlfxv3Ah.


This is the strongest single variable I've seen in being able to explain the severity of this most recent wave in each state.

Not past infections / existing immunity, population density, racial makeup, latitude / weather / humidity, etc.

But political lean.

One can argue that states that lean Democrat are more likely to implement restrictions/mandates.

This is valid, so we test this by using the Government Stringency Index made by @UniofOxford.

We also see a correlation, but it's weaker (R^2=0.36 vs 0.50).

https://t.co/BxBBKwW6ta


To avoid look-ahead bias/confounding variables, here is the same analysis but using 2016 margin of victory as the predictor. Similar results.

This basically says that 2016 election results is a better predictor of the severity of the fall wave than intervention levels in 2020!

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