90% of my savings were in equity, debt was never attractive! Last few months have taught me the imp of diversification!

Gold - through SGBs was my move on diversifying! Holder since Jan'20 - so far so good!

A🧵on talk given by @PositiveGamma on Investing in Gold!

(1/16)

Link to the here - https://t.co/NxEkVKZi2H
MMTC PAMP is where Krishna worked before Setu and he was also responsible for launching Digi Gold at PayTM!

1) Why Gold?
1.1 Diversification - Volatility & Returns not tied to market conditions - diff. from financial assets.

(2/16)
1.2 Safe Haven - High value asset, easy to transport! Large value - limited space. Liquid and easy to convert to cash across the world.

1.3 Hedge against inflation and currency depreciation! (Depreciation of Rupee is a major factor behind Gold returns in India)

(3/16)
1.4 Upside in Tail Risk - Confidence in currencies & financial systems is low, gold can see upside in scenarios like this!

1.5 Upside on Demand/Supply - Constant Demand - Supply is stable!

2) Gold - Indian Context - Better returns compared to other asset classes...

(4/16)
... specially in the last 2-3 years. Gold has done well both in low inflation & high inflation returns. So both real (ex. inflation) & nominal returns have been good!

3) How much to Allocate?
3.1 Diversification/Inflation Hedge - 10-20%
3.2 Tail Risk/Safe Haven - 5-20%

(5/16)
4) There has been a rethink on investment in Gold over last year or so - due to Price performance and people looking for reasons of continue performance! Pandemic - Demand for stimulus and easing of rates - currency trust goes down - faith in Gold increases!

(6/16)
5) How is Gold in India Priced?
How are the prices of gold calculated that we see in newspapers, news channels etc.

If long gold in US$ form in London - instead of 41% increase is only 31%, because Rupee has depreciated substantially compared to the $. (3rd Tweet)

(7/16)
6) Purity of Gold!

(8/16)
7) Gold Investment Options in India
7.1 Jewellery 💎📿
7.2 Gold ETFs 🔼
7.3 Sovereign Gold Bonds (SGB) 📜
7.4 Bullion🪙
7.5 Gold Futures 🥏
7.6 Digital Gold📱
7.7 Paper Gold/Cert. from Jewellers 📰
7.8 Gold Mining Fund ⛏️
7.9 Overseas Options via LRS ✈️

Details below...

(9/16)
8) Pros & Cons of Options

(10/16)
9) SGBs is something I like and feel is probably the best instrument if you see GOLD as a long term investment.
9.1 Attractive pricing in Primary (Disc. on Digital Purchase) & Secondary Market
9.2 Annual Interest Component - 2.5% Annual Return

(11/16)
9.3 Tax Benefits - Tax Free after holding period of 8 Years!
9.4 Liquidity - Less liquid compared to Gold ETFs, hence only good for Long Term Gold buying!
9.5 Govt. Issued and Backing
9.6 Fine Print behind SGBs - 10K Cr. of Govt. Borrowings through SGBs - money used...

(12/16)
in funding Govt. deficit! Govt. is not buying Gold for SGB, at the end its a promissory note based on gold prices. Metal lease rates are b/w 1.5-2.5%, so interest offered is based on that! Hence very different from buying Gold Bars.

Instrument not well discovered...

(13/16)
... and hence Liquidity in the secondary market is poor. Not being marketed as nicely as MFs, overtime market will deepen over time!

10) Digital Gold - By Digital Gold anytime and anywhere at the same price across the country - Tier 2 & 3 cities have...

(14/16)
physical gold prices which are higher than Tier 1 cities - Digital Gold is uniform, Main Purpose-Democratise investment in Gold - low ticket investments as well. Total Cost of buying & selling is 6-7% because of GST & Markup! Risk of platform and digital gold provider!

(15/16)
11) Discussed SGBs & Digital Gold coz of the easier purchase model but below is rating for various options of all gold buying modes according to six criteria!

This was a really insightful talk & I definitely know more now! Thank you @PositiveGamma for this! (16/16)

Fin.
Sorry for the Typos😅😅😅
Another Great article I read last week on this topic!

https://t.co/lg7G0uHzTH
Adding 3 great videos by @WeekendInvestng to this thread, love the daily bytes!

1) Why should you buy gold - https://t.co/4fW8SQfkCm

2) Should you buy gold bolds- https://t.co/vyY5rlnTKW

3) Gold at 18% discount - https://t.co/oHFAob4X6p (Very interesting framework)
Adding another great video on a Framework for asset allocation b/w Gold vs Equity in your portfolio - https://t.co/a1BtKuJB5C

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A THREAD ON @SarangSood

Decoded his way of analysis/logics for everyone to easily understand.

Have covered:
1. Analysis of volatility, how to foresee/signs.
2. Workbook
3. When to sell options
4. Diff category of days
5. How movement of option prices tell us what will happen

1. Keeps following volatility super closely.

Makes 7-8 different strategies to give him a sense of what's going on.

Whichever gives highest profit he trades in.


2. Theta falls when market moves.
Falls where market is headed towards not on our original position.


3. If you're an options seller then sell only when volatility is dropping, there is a high probability of you making the right trade and getting profit as a result

He believes in a market operator, if market mover sells volatility Sarang Sir joins him.


4. Theta decay vs Fall in vega

Sell when Vega is falling rather than for theta decay. You won't be trapped and higher probability of making profit.
Oh my Goodness!!!

I might have a panic attack due to excitement!!

Read this thread to the end...I just had an epiphany and my mind is blown. Actually, more than blown. More like OBLITERATED! This is the thing! This is the thing that will blow the entire thing out of the water!


Has this man been concealing his true identity?

Is this man a supposed 'dead' Seal Team Six soldier?

Witness protection to be kept safe until the right moment when all will be revealed?!

Who ELSE is alive that may have faked their death/gone into witness protection?


Were "golden tickets" inside the envelopes??


Are these "golden tickets" going to lead to their ultimate undoing?

Review crumbs on the board re: 'gold'.


#SEALTeam6 Trump re-tweeted this.