Does raising the minimum wage reduce the number of low-wage jobs?

No.

"We also find no evidence of disemployment when we consider higher levels of minimum wages."

https://t.co/vlgagEHeyy

Minimum wage increases reduce crime.

https://t.co/1G1clXqF9t
When you increase the minimum wage, you decrease infant mortality among poor families.

https://t.co/iwW1FDsLYG
Increasing the minimum wage improves kids' health.

https://t.co/66DLHERpOJ
The minimum wage reduces racial income inequality.

https://t.co/wkn9Ajotlx
“We find that raising the minimum wage increases earnings growth at the bottom of the distribution, and those effects persist and indeed grow in magnitude over several years.”

https://t.co/bYuxhaieN4
https://t.co/1L8Hh6OqmX
"Overall the most up to date body of research from US, UK and other developed countries points to a very muted effect of minimum wages on employment...Importantly, this was
found to be the case even for the most recent ambitious policies."

https://t.co/SISetZLMMX
"This [meta-analysis] finds no statistically significant aggregate adverse employment effect of the national minimum wage [in the U.K.] and also no publication bias in the minimum wage literature."

https://t.co/Pw3t94wXZd

More from Economy

In this paper, we study vote choices of voters who are left-wing on economic issues and authoritarian/nationalist on cultural issues, especially immigration. For these voters, there is no often party combining positions in this way.


In the data from the Campaign Panel of the German Election Study 2017, many voters prefer higher social benefits and taxes and want to restrict immigration. @ches_data show that no party bundles issue positions in this way.


In the article, we show that many such “left-authoritarians” perceive the party they voted for to also hold a left-authoritarian position. Interestingly, this includes many AfD voters who report a perceived left-wing economic position of the party.


Our statistical models study the interplay between this (mis-)perceived congruence and issue importance, using an open-ended question on the most important political problem in Germany.

We find that (mis-)perceived congruence and issue importance interactively shape the left-authoritarian vote. Simply, perceived congruence matters more on an important issue—and issue salience matters most if voters accurately perceive incongruent party supply.
1/ Trend Factor: Any Economic Gains from Using Information over Investment Horizons? (Han, Zhou, Zhu)

"A trend factor using multiple time lengths outperforms ST reversal, momentum, and LT reversal, which are based on the three price trends separately."

https://t.co/udkvsdw2Lz


2/ This resembles combining multiple measures of ST reversal, momentum, and LT reversal (forecasts determined by walking forward rather than using signs from the full sample).

Unlike normal moving average signals, these are *cross-sectional.* More below:
https://t.co/wkIFLg9jtK


3/ Unsurprisingly, the Trend factor formed by this approach outperforms benchmarks in terms of both Sharpe ratio and tail metrics. It's combining momentum with two factors that are negatively correlated to it AND using multiple specifications.

More here:
https://t.co/x8Tloz3iyL


4/ "Average return and volatility of the trend factor are both higher in recession periods. However, the Sharpe ratio is virtually the same.

"Interestingly, all of the factors still have positive average returns.

"Momentum experiences the greatest increase in volatility."


5/ "In terms of maximum drawdown and the Calmar ratio, the trend factor performs the best.

"The trend factor is correlated with the short-term reversal factor (35%), long-term reversal factor (14%), and the market (20%) but is virtually uncorrelated with the momentum factor."

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