BC CRYPTO
Saved by @Jacobtldr

Big #Altcoin thread for $ALTS: Where are we at in the cycle, how long do we have, is this #ALTSEASON, what are the relationships like, all of that. $BTC #Bitcoin $ETH $LINK #Altcoins

 First: What is #Altseason? The true altszn was seen in 2017/2018, where $BTC fell off a cliff and $ALTS were the 'safe haven' from btc dumping. ALTS went literally 1000%+ (many much higher). Since that time we have seen many #Altcoin pumps, starting primarily in late Q4 each year
These Altcoin pumps are usually 20-1000% gains on nearly the ENTIRE #Altcoin market. This is awesome to see and genius season- you can't lose. Dips are bought up quickly and both ALT/USD and ALT/BTC pairs pump HUGE. Are we currently in that environment? I'm not quite sure tbh.
I think that $BTC still has a little more gas in the tank, which would result in ALT/BTC pairs suffering IMO. You can see more of my thoughts on #Bitcoin below, but I think that we could see 1 more shakeout + then we could see a big run starting in December 2020 for $ALTS
As an #Altcoin trader, you need to understand several things for the environment in which to trade $ALTS successfully:
- $BTC PA
- $BTC.D
-Seasonality
- $ETH
- and much more
IMO, the easiest way to figure out what the altcoin environment is like is by looking at $BTC.D, aka #Bitcoin dominance. Many notes on the charts, please read them. In short: BTC.D going up = altcoins down. This is mostly in referral to ALT/BTC pairs for the most part.
As you can see, $BTC.D goes down in Q4s each yr, starting in December. The last 3 Decembers have been quite nice for #Altcoins and I don't expect this to change personally. We see pump in Dec-January, cooling off in February, and then a springtime pump for $ALTS.
Another important thing to note is altszn is also characterized by ALT/BTC pairs doing extremely well (more than ALT/USD pairs). Generally, ALT/USD will go up with BTC/USD.

BTC up= ALTBTC -/ ALTUSD +
BTC down= ALTBTC -/ALTUSD-
BTC range = ALTBTC+/ALTUSD+

Always exceptions ofc
Right now we're seeing ALT/USD go up more than ALTBTC (for the most part) when BTC is going up. If BTC starts to range, I expect ALTBTC pairs to catch up personally. More on $BTC thoughts below:
What are the drivers for #Crypto? $BTC and $ETH are the biggest market caps. Here is #Bitcoin first and the price action and what I expect. Check out this thread that I wrote before:

https://t.co/v9pvOOEWsK
$BTC has had 3 different types of price action in the winter the last 3 years. I think that this one will look mostly like 2018 winter (heading into 2019).
$ETH: #Ethereum has a stronger pump than $BTC in December generally (in terms of %) the last few years. December sparks off a strong $ETHUSD run and I wouldn't be surprised to see this hit $800 in the next few months.
#Ethereum is also a leader in the #Altcoin market generally and $ETHBTC is also an important pair to watch. This one has been consolidating and you can argue it's been in the same range since 2018! This 1 also has strong gains in December (not as much as USD pair).
What does the total #crypto market cap look like? It looks pretty good IMO, higher today than any point since early 2018. I think that means that we should see some good gains in terms of ALT/USD pairs. These are good for macro views of the market IMO.
What are the #Altcoins that I expect to pump? As I've said many times before, I think that you should think about $ALTS in terms of groups or classes. These groups will typically pump together due to FA relationship or similar market cycles.
Some examples are: #IEO coins, #DeFi coins, majors ( $LTC $XRP $BCH), old ERC-20 coins ( $REP $GNT $ICX), new shiny coins ( $INJ $AXS), and many more. For the most part, I expect all of these to pump in both alt/usd and alt/btc pairs.
Which #altcoins should do best? I think that the newest coins will do the best.

-No old bag holders (resistance)
-New technology and new hype
-Price discovery easily attainable and not -90% price history
-Lots of new hype
I think that stuff like $DOT $INJ, many of the #DeFi coins, and new coins will do better than older coins like $ICX or $STRAT personally. $LINK should also do very well.
Ok, so I think that $ALTs are going to pump big in the coming months. What is the timeline on our altcoin pump? I think that we see a strong December/January, price to go down in Feb and then pump again in March/April, followed by Alt destruction after that.
This is a thread that highlights more of that timeline. Summers have been painful for $ALTS in 2018 and 2019 (2020 was an exception due to DeFi IMO).

https://t.co/HY5g8HFrW5
What are some reasons why this all might be wrong? If $BTC keeps going to all time high levels in the coming months I think that this entire thread will be wrong and ALT/BTC pairs will get smashed. This is entirely possible given the market structure IMO.
Furthermore, given the #DeFi summer, alts might need to cool longer and maybe March is when they start the run. Some of these coins might need longer accumulation periods.
Tl;dr: I think that #Altcoins are going to pump solidly in December. I am not sure if we are currently in altszn right now, I am waiting for $BTC to finish its current run. I am scaling into several that I like ( $LINK $YFI $AAVE $ETH $DOT) and I plan on swing trading these ones.
Always remember to: Take profits, keep your stop losses, never FOMO, always DYOR, never go all in. I am expecting a very nice end of 2020 for all of us. Good luck and stay safe!

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An example. You're in a city where everyone takes public transport. You encounter a string of bad delays. It's reasonable to conclude they'll end—otherwise people wouldn't take public transport. It's unlikely that you happened to show up right when the network collapses.

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The new age of privacy, and the crypto ecosystem that will enable it.

A Thread.
$XHV $SCRT $RUNE
1/

Throughout my research, @HavenXHV The Haven protocol renewed my faith, that privacy wasn't just a temporary trend, but something with actual, sustainability. The creation of a private bank, exchange, and access to real world assets in completely privacy of my own vault. $XHV
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It didn't take me long before I discovered $RUNE and @thorchain_org and their cross chain liquidity pools and decentralized exchange capabilities. How anyone can offer liquidity and earn rewards and trading fees for doing so. But also,how all trading pairs,are interchangable.
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The global blockchain market is growing fast & it is expected to grow from USD 3.0B in 2020 to USD 39.7B by 2025 at an impressive CAGR of 67.3% during 2020–2025. The global fintech market has also significantly grown over the past 2 years & so is the case in Southeast Asia. (1/n)


2) Thanks to the increased application of blockchain & cryptocurrency in the region.
With a total pop. of 570M, a young demographic & high Internet usage, Southeast Asia (SEA) is promising for companies & investors in blockchain & crypto.

#Blockchain


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Today, the application of decentralized finance (DeFi) is under the limelight.

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As the financial hub for SEA, Singapore plays a critical role in supporting the region to push it forward technologically & financially.
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Emperor\U0001f451
Emperor👑
@EmperorBTC
Go to 1-4 hour chart.

Use the following EMAs.
13,21,50,180.

Look for a period of consolidation and
13>21>50>180.

Wait for a pull back to 13EMA.
If bounce occurs with volume, Enter.

Exit on bearish cross with 21>13.
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⚡️ TUNEZ 2000 ⚡️...
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TRIANGLE MASTERCLASS - a thread.

what's the simplest, most effective method of trading a market that trends as hard as cryptocurrencies?

trendlines.

one trendline on its own is strong, but when you put two together you quickly realize just how powerful this simple tool can be.


i've been using triangles for as long as i can remember.

it seems dumb, and almost counter-intuitive to approach such a complex game like trading with such a simple approach like shapes...but maybe when markets start acting stupid its okay to dumb down our approach.

look, not all triangles are the same.

anybody can draw some lines on a chart any way they'd like. sometimes, we let our bias affect our charts rather than the other way around.

i personally have done this more times than i can count.

you see...triangles (and analysis as a whole) is not necessarily intended to make trading easier as much as it is to make trading simple.

you want a fluid bias that can change easily, rather than one relying on 10 steps of conflicting confirmation before entering a new trade

trendlines enable us to maintain a fluid bias.

i mean, how much simpler can it be than "above this line bullish, below this line bearish" ? 😂

one trendline on its own can be enough to make a good trade, but when you put two together it can turn a good trade into a great one.
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