1. This beautiful and thought provoking piece of 21st century art was shared widely in anti-EU Facebook groups, Twitter replies to journalists and elsewhere online, in 2016.
Is it an untrackable, untraceable, Cambridge Analytica-style, fake?
But look a bit closer, it appears intentionally bad.
Literate enough to spell “Sovereignty” correctly.
Cambridge Analytica boasted on hidden camera that they created “untraceable, untrackable” social media themes, memes and propaganda that spread.
“We put the information into the bloodstream of the internet and watch it grow.
Give it a little push.
This stuff infiltrates the online community and expands.
With no branding.
So it’s unattributable, untrackable"
It’s impossible to find out unless you work at Facebook or Google.
But there are some strange clues.
TinEye reverse image search shows that it was first saved by their web crawler in 2016.
A few days before the EU referendum in the UK.
With the username “niteoflight”.
Note the strange spelling and grammar; ‘re_election'
(A table of Johnny's most shared accounts on Twitter)
Unusually for a pro-Brexit British man named Johnny, he often used “Beeter”.
An obscure Japanese Twitter app, to Tweet.
But probably just a random weird guy, from the UK?
Who can’t really speak English.
Who likes Russian government TV more than any other news outlet.
Who uses a defunct, obscure Japanese language Twitter app, to post to Twitter.
But searching back further, the earliest example of this meme that we could find was not on Google, Twitter or Facebook.
The first evidence of it anywhere online, is from a guy called “Martin Corner”. Who posted the meme on Russian Facebook (VK), on the 3rd of June 2016.
The people who liked the 40 YEARS EU RULE post on VK purport to be English neo-Nazis and fascists, if their posts on VK are to be believed.
He loves Hitler and IKEA candles.
But hates the EU.
Who’d have thought.
Seeded it online via various “independent” groups and activists, who spread it so that it multiplied across social media without being tracked back to the creators.
Just like the Cambridge Analytica salesman boasted in the undercover footage.
Welcome to the @TrollZoo ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
More from Brexit
So take the example this week, where the @Foodanddrinkfed raised the issue that UK-hubs for food and drink were "unworkable" since goods that came in from the EU were attracting full tariffs when the were spun back into Ireland or other EU members /2
They were backed by other EU associations - and both said they would lobby UK govt and @EU_Commission to 'fix' what they presumed was an "unintended consequence" of the deal....except that both EU officials and UK govt have basically shrugged. The deal is the deal. /3
@EU_Commission This is in no way confined to food industry - clothes and retailers are also hard-hit.
But lots of industry has wrongly bet that 'common sense' and 'self interest' would prevail once the nasty negotiations phase was out the way...but that's not the signal being sent. /4
As one EU official puts it: “You can’t expect the UK to remain the food import hub for the EU. It’s not sustainable, and makes no sense in the mid-to-longer run." And that applies to financial services, clothing, retail goods....a bureaucratic curtain has descended. /4
in mortgages. Business was great for many companies but then in ‘17 and ‘18, rates went up. What happened you might ask? A lot of people got compressed, margins got compressed, rates went down, & people struggled in the mortgage market...
Well UWM ( $GHIV ) compound annual growth rate, from ‘16 to ’18, was 28%. Companies that focused on refi struggled, so obviously a very successful company like Rocket or Quicken, they went down 14% in compound annual growth rate in those years...
$GHIV actually grew, and so did their profits, so the opportunity to continue to grow in all cycles is a big differentiator for UWM, and the broker channel versus a lot of our competitors. When rates rise, it's actually even better for $GHIV (UWM)..
If rates stay low, great UWM will continue to crush but when the rates rise, they will continue to steal even more market share because of how they operate in the mortgage sector. People also talk about the speed in closing a loan & that other competitors are faster...
1. Key chart: a no-deal/WTO/Australia-style Brexit would delay the point at which econ output regains its pre-virus peak by "almost a year to the third quarter of 2023."
In the upside scenario, this cross-over point could be at the start of 2022; in the downside, in 2025. Grim.
2. Next year, a no deal Brexit would reduce real GDP by around a further 2% - as a result of immediate disruption to the border and uncertainty facing businesses. That's on top of the Covid-related contraction.
3. While there's some short-term border disruption, most of the costs come in the medium term: from lost employment; productivity losses; lower business investment.
Exactly the opposite of what the Chancellor said to @AndrewMarr9 on Sunday.
4. Underneath these numbers, output would fall *below* the Covid levels for several key sectors: Manufacturing, professional services, financial services, retail, energy.
All trade intensive sectors that have been spared the same drop in output as the non-tradables this year.
First off, services is definitely included. Question for service providers, is will it be enough?
My overall impression is that the EU has offered among the best in class for its FTAs similar to Canada and Japan.
But this access is a far cry from access to the Single Market and how is constructed as part of a trade agreement for the EU reflects that.
Unlike for goods trade, once you've got a product through all the customs and regulatory procedures into the EU, it can be sold anywhere in the EU, or its "entered circulation".
For services trade, that isn't the case. Its still done on a member state by member state level.
This is even true in the trade agreement itself where although the provisions set out in the Services and Investment chapter sounds awfully good - lots of principles about the freedom to establish and allowing the cross-border trade in services.
It's only when...
You get to the annexes and you realise both the EU and individual member states have put entry conditions across huge areas of different services sectors both now (existing measures) & in the future. Don't worry too much about the future reservations, it's the existing ones.
In short - outside of a single market product checks and people working restrictions are inevitable. And outside a customs union you will have tariffs and / or rules of origin.
Detail ---> 1/
The UK decided to leave a Customs Union. Within that Customs Union, no tariffs, just a common external tariff or preferential rates for bilateral deals or developing countries. Hence, distribution hubs in one country for all make a lot of sense. 2/
Outside a Customs Union our choice was tariffs under WTO rules or remove them subject to rules of origin with a deal. We chose the latter, but it means we can't just import from China, rebadge, and get zero tariffs from the EU. As we could until December 31. 3/
Net result of being outside of the Customs Union - it no longer makes sense for the UK to be a distribution hub for the whole of Europe. Particularly when so many neighbouring countries remain in it. No trade deal changes that. 4/
Now, product checks, of the sort causing problems for food exporters (see Scottish seafood). In the single market, we shared regulations, so a safe product in the UK was safe in France. No inspections. We chose to leave that system, as we want to change some regulations. 5/
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Andrew McCabe was reported to the FBI’s Office of Public Affairs for making an unauthorized leak of classified info to the media about @GenFlynn in early February 2017.
If you’ve wondered exactly who it was who leaked the classified info from that intelligence report on @GenFlynn’s phone calls with then-Russian ambassador Kislyak to the media, you are right now seeing a huge honking clue who it was.
To those responding to this info by sneering "Nothing's gonna happen":
You just might be too stupid to be following me.
The then-Deputy Director of the FBI get's caught targeting @GenFlynn with an illegal leak so he can 'investigated' by Peter Strzok?
Now that we know it was McCabe who set up Flynn for a fake 'perjury' investigation by his pet attack dog, Peter Strzok, the next name that's going to surface is...Joseph Pientka.
What is pyramiding?
It is simply adding to your winners.
Why use pyramiding?
1. It makes your winners bigger than your losers.
• Because you are adding positions when your trades are going your way, you are increasing your gains but your losers will be small comparatively.
2. You lose less during Draw-down time ( it saves you from losing big during whipsaws )
• Many times when the market is in sideways mode, Entering a trade with full risk might not be the best idea.
• So, you test the waters with a small position first, it could be ⅓ or ¼ of your total risk.
• So if the Breakout fails or whipsaws come, then you will only lose a small part of your overall risk.
• Then when position starts to go in your favor you can add to it.
3. It helps you to concentrate on a few trades,
They say that don’t put all your eggs in one basket, but don’t put them in too many either.
• See, Everyone can see charts and find breakouts, pullbacks etc.
If you’re a creator, get an invite here 👉 https://t.co/D8H6g8TL9o
Week 2 highlights: our first ever podcast 🎙, meeting @Jason 🦄, shipping @BREWdotcom alpha 🚢 & laptop stickers!
2/ First off, thanks for the mind-blowing response last week (120k+ views 😲 omgwtfasdasd!)… absolutely pushed us to get the product out there.
also, there’s something magical about watching people try a buggy product and fixing it on the go 🤓
1/ \U0001f44b Excited to share what we\u2019ve been building at https://t.co/GOQJ7LjQ2t + we are going to tweetstorm our progress every week!— Jijo Sunny (@JijoSunny) November 6, 2018
Week 1 highlights: getting shortlisted for YC W2019\U0001f91e, acquiring a premium domain\U0001f4b0, meeting Substack's @hamishmckenzie and Stripe CEO @patrickc \U0001f929
3/ Thanks @JasonDemant for inviting us to grab some behind the scenes at @LAUNCH.
As a huge fan and avid listener of the @TWistartups show🎙, it was great watching @Jason do his thing live!
4/ 🎙@domainnamewire invited us to chat about acquiring https://t.co/GOQJ7L2faV domain and that was officially our first podcast ever. Check it out here: https://t.co/eusVCOlUSb.
You nailed it your first time, Maddy! 🍻 Thanks for having us on the show, Andrew.
5/ Great news: Brew partnered with @Tipalti to enable payouts for creators everywhere (unlike @kickstarter which only support 26 countries).
Platforms like Twitch use Tipalti to payout instantly and via multiple methods like Check, PayPal, local bank transfer, etc.