This is an absolutely excellent article by @TobiasBuckFT on the decline of the German Social Democrats with ramifications for SD parties throughout Western Europe. Some quick thought. #thread

1. I still think it buys a little bit too much into the packaging excuse. In essence, it is not about "charismatic leader" or "we didn't tell our story well enough", it is about not having a convincing story!
2. What is making Social Democratic parties irrelevant throughout Europe is not a lack of personnel or policies, but of ideology!
3. Only after Social Democrats have reinvented social democracy for the 21st century, as a modern(ized) left-wing ideology), not a blitzy packaged collection of slogans or a weak verion of right-wing policies, can they win voters (back).
4. But even then it has to accept that it lives in a different time, in which true social democratic values are no longer obvious or even popular.
5. Consequently, the electoral resurgence of Social Democratic parties have to be preceded, and accompanied, by a "cultural revolution" initiated by non-party groups, deeply rooted in societies and sucultures.
6. Most accounts on the decline of Social Democratic parties also implicitly assume that European populations are white. This is, obviously, still in majority the case, but "non-white" groups are becoming an ever larger part of the electorate.
7. In past decade(s), "immigrants" have played a major role in stopping, or at least slowing down, the decline of Social Democratic parties in cities. I assume many have shifted to centrist and Green parties in recent years (or non-votes).
8. The growing group of "immigrants" are, or should be, as much the future of Social Democratic parties as the decline group of white workers, particularly now most mainstream right parties have made a nativist turn.
9. The decline of Social Democratic parties is primarily about the decline of the white working class, but there is much more to it, including the non-white working class and the white middle class, which rarely gets mentioned.
10. I am happy that Social Democratic parties and ideology are getting (somewhat) more attention again in academia, among others by @SLdeLange and @tabouchadi , and hope many more will follow and move beyond simplistic "immigration realism" solution. #TheEnd

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I’m torn on how to approach the idea of luck. I’m the first to admit that I am one of the luckiest people on the planet. To be born into a prosperous American family in 1960 with smart parents is to start life on third base. The odds against my very existence are astronomical.


I’ve always felt that the luckiest people I know had a talent for recognizing circumstances, not of their own making, that were conducive to a favorable outcome and their ability to quickly take advantage of them.

In other words, dumb luck was just that, it required no awareness on the person’s part, whereas “smart” luck involved awareness followed by action before the circumstances changed.

So, was I “lucky” to be born when I was—nothing I had any control over—and that I came of age just as huge databases and computers were advancing to the point where I could use those tools to write “What Works on Wall Street?” Absolutely.

Was I lucky to start my stock market investments near the peak of interest rates which allowed me to spend the majority of my adult life in a falling rate environment? Yup.
#ज्योतिष_विज्ञान #मंत्र_विज्ञान

ज्योतिषाचार्य अक्सर ग्रहों के दुष्प्रभाव के समाधान के लिए मंत्र जप, अनुष्ठान इत्यादि बताते हैं।

व्यक्ति के जन्म के समय ग्रहों की स्थिति ही उसकी कुंडली बन जाती है जैसे कि फ़ोटो खींच लिया हो और एडिट करना सम्भव नही है। इसे ही "लग्न" कुंडली कहते हैं।


लग्न के समय ग्रहों की इस स्थिति से ही जीवन भर आपको किस ग्रह की ऊर्जा कैसे प्रभावित करेगी का निर्धारिण होता है। साथ साथ दशाएँ, गोचर इत्यादि चलते हैं पर लग्न कुंडली का रोल सबसे महत्वपूर्ण है।


पृथ्वी से अरबों खरबों दूर ये ग्रह अपनी ऊर्जा से पृथ्वी/व्यक्ति को प्रभावित करते हैं जैसे हमारे सबसे निकट ग्रह चंद्रमा जोकि जल का कारक है पृथ्वी और शरीर के जलतत्व पर पूर्ण प्रभाव रखता है।
पूर्णिमा में उछाल मारता समुद्र का जल इसकी ऊर्जा के प्रभाव को दिखाता है।


अमावस्या में ऊर्जा का स्तर कम होने पर वही समुद्र शांत होकर पीछे चला जाता है। जिसे ज्वार-भाटा कहते हैं। इसी तरह अन्य ग्रहों की ऊर्जा के प्रभाव होते हैं जिन्हें यहां समझाना संभव नहीं।
चंद्रमा की ये ऊर्जा शरीर को (अगर खराब है) water retention, बैचेनी, नींद न आना आदि लक्षण दिखाती है


मंत्र क्या हैं-
मंत्र इन ऊर्जाओं के सटीक प्रयोग करने के पासवर्ड हैं। जिनके जप से संबंधित ग्रह की ऊर्जा को जातक की ऊर्जा से कनेक्ट करके उन ग्रहों के दुष्प्रभाव को कम किया और शुभ प्रभाव को बढ़ाया जाता है।