THREAD

Breaking down the “efficacy” and safety of the #COVID19 vaccines if applied to the population

https://t.co/q8sXpkVxjs
https://t.co/tYCGHKgzqW
https://t.co/mQicBLheTJ
Pfizer vaccine summary: https://t.co/u4h7jZWbW8
Moderna vaccine summary: https://t.co/tiBOzjq1Xj
AstraZeneca vaccine summary: https://t.co/tPMa4II0ZE
IMPORTANT NOTE:

Given that only ~1 in 5 #COVID19 cases require hospitalization, this means that only ~20% of the already minute levels of decreases provided by vaccines in the occurrence of #COVID19 would prevent #COVID19 leading to hospitalizations...

https://t.co/UD5pIQjIY2
^ Hence:

* Pfizer vaccine would lead to only ~0.03% less #COVID19 hospitalizations over 1 week

* Moderna vaccine would lead to only ~0.24% less #COVID19 hospitalizations over 2 months

* AstraZeneca vaccine would lead to only ~0.24% less #COVID19 hospitalizations over 6 weeks
^ Simultaneously:

* Pfizer vaccine would cause 1,443,042 serious adverse events over 1 week

* Moderna vaccine would cause 3,081,988 serious adverse events over 28 days

* AstraZeneca vaccine would lead to 54,600,009 serious adverse events over 6 weeks

https://t.co/9Ckp1Fy53h
^ Barring further follow-up and surveillance, we currently have no idea how much more presentation of serious adverse events (resulting in: death, substantial risk of being life-threatening, hospitalization, and/or disability/permanent damage) would occur beyond these follow-ups.
Meanwhile, along with providing rapid health restoration, sufficient niacin supply is mechanistically established to serve as ensured protection against the development of #COVID19

Further, niacin is a safe, natural vitamin; readily available; & would cost <1 cent a gram in bulk https://t.co/rAFMIHzUeA
We also have no idea of effectiveness beyond brief follow-ups

Beyond brief follow-up, they could very well even exasperate burden of disease outcome (i.e. #COVID19 hospitalizations) that they intend to & do initially—albeit meaninglessly—protect against!

https://t.co/ROir4ebMjB
Some more on this... https://t.co/Yz2ji8aPRG

More from All

https://t.co/6cRR2B3jBE
Viruses and other pathogens are often studied as stand-alone entities, despite that, in nature, they mostly live in multispecies associations called biofilms—both externally and within the host.

https://t.co/FBfXhUrH5d


Microorganisms in biofilms are enclosed by an extracellular matrix that confers protection and improves survival. Previous studies have shown that viruses can secondarily colonize preexisting biofilms, and viral biofilms have also been described.


...we raise the perspective that CoVs can persistently infect bats due to their association with biofilm structures. This phenomenon potentially provides an optimal environment for nonpathogenic & well-adapted viruses to interact with the host, as well as for viral recombination.


Biofilms can also enhance virion viability in extracellular environments, such as on fomites and in aquatic sediments, allowing viral persistence and dissemination.

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Department List of UCAS-China PROFESSORs for ANSO, CSC and UCAS (fully or partial) Scholarship Acceptance
1) UCAS School of physical sciences Professor
https://t.co/9X8OheIvRw
2) UCAS School of mathematical sciences Professor

3) UCAS School of nuclear sciences and technology
https://t.co/nQH8JnewcJ
4) UCAS School of astronomy and space sciences
https://t.co/7Ikc6CuKHZ
5) UCAS School of engineering

6) Geotechnical Engineering Teaching and Research Office
https://t.co/jBCJW7UKlQ
7) Multi-scale Mechanics Teaching and Research Section
https://t.co/eqfQnX1LEQ
😎 Microgravity Science Teaching and Research

9) High temperature gas dynamics teaching and research section
https://t.co/tVIdKgTPl3
10) Department of Biomechanics and Medical Engineering
https://t.co/ubW4xhZY2R
11) Ocean Engineering Teaching and Research

12) Department of Dynamics and Advanced Manufacturing
https://t.co/42BKXEugGv
13) Refrigeration and Cryogenic Engineering Teaching and Research Office
https://t.co/pZdUXFTvw3
14) Power Machinery and Engineering Teaching and Research
1/ Here’s a list of conversational frameworks I’ve picked up that have been helpful.

Please add your own.

2/ The Magic Question: "What would need to be true for you


3/ On evaluating where someone’s head is at regarding a topic they are being wishy-washy about or delaying.

“Gun to the head—what would you decide now?”

“Fast forward 6 months after your sabbatical--how would you decide: what criteria is most important to you?”

4/ Other Q’s re: decisions:

“Putting aside a list of pros/cons, what’s the *one* reason you’re doing this?” “Why is that the most important reason?”

“What’s end-game here?”

“What does success look like in a world where you pick that path?”

5/ When listening, after empathizing, and wanting to help them make their own decisions without imposing your world view:

“What would the best version of yourself do”?