Jacobtldr Categories Politics
This statistic that 90 percent of Republicans presume Trump will win may prove far more important than any of the sort https://t.co/LXTkTYzNsA covers. It scares me shitless. https://t.co/9z3NmfIbmX
— Rick Perlstein (@rickperlstein) October 27, 2020
Full polling data here. I was asked to give a talk on campus about the Tea Party in 2010, and one of my main points was that it was a weakness of the movement that it had such a delusional perception of the American people. Oops.
Anyway...the dynamic described here has been a long time coming.
A GOP political culture that regards Americans who don't agree with them as existential enemies to the nation is the logical result of the GOP's longrunning culture war approach to politics. They've been telling conservatives they're "at war" w/ their fellow citizens for decades.
— Seth Cotlar (@SethCotlar) October 27, 2020
That's the weird, seemingly illogical, thing about the right's culture war. They simultaneously think of themselves as speaking for the majority of Americans, AND they think that they are the saving remnant protecting a decadent society from ruin.
What squares this circle is the assumption that "the real American people" consist of straight white, rural or suburban people, & anyone not in that category doesn't really count as an American. That's how right wing culture warriors can both be the "majority," and a minority.
In a recent thread about collective election anxiety/PTSD, I wrote that âone half the country doesnât believe in evidence, the other half canât trust it.â 2/
The collective anxiety is the by-product of two unfortunate realities of the Trump era:
— Nick Carmody JD, MS Psych (@Nick_Carmody) October 20, 2020
1)You\u2019ll never go broke if you consistently bet on the ignorance/depravity of 1/3 of this country.
2)One-half of the country doesn\u2019t believe in evidence. The other half can\u2019t trust it.
1/ https://t.co/gY5lzJxNxq
This couldnât more evident than by the fact that 87 percent of Trump supporters believe he will win re-election, despite the fact that⌠3/
âŚthe empirical data that shows Biden *should* win easily. This has resulted in https://t.co/e8JNg5tYmK calculating that Trump has only a 10% chance of winning. To be clear, 10% is a non-zero number, much like the 30% chance that Trump had in 2016. 4/
But the real problem isnât necessarily about low probabilities, the real problemâŚ..or more accurately, the dangerâŚ..lies in the pathologically unrealistic expectations of the cult of Trump: 90% of them have been conned into thinking that a 10% probability is a âsure thingâ. 5/
Time stamp 42:12
Weighted Election Race Feature available since 2001 and believed to be in all voting machines
Algorithm transfers a % of votes from 1 candidate to another. The % is a âweightedâ decimal value.
Dr.SHIVA LIVE: MIT PhD Analysis of Michigan Votes Reveals Unfortunate Truth of U.S. Voting Systems. https://t.co/82bbFj5yO9
— Dr.SHIVA Ayyadurai, MIT PhD. Inventor of Email (@va_shiva) November 10, 2020
Plug in this weekend to the GOTV efforts of our incredible @OnwardTogether partners.
A thread:
.@Alliance4Youth is organizing the early youth vote. Early turnout among younger people is already strongâhelp the Alliance keep it going by joining their outreach this weekend.
By mask or by mail at the ballot box, drop box, or mailbox, Generation Z and Millennials are already voting in high numbers and the Alliance for Youth Action network has been organizing non-stop to get out the early vote. Learn more at https://t.co/zjTnq08n6p #VoteEarly pic.twitter.com/NKsQVMGR9q
— Alliance for Youth Action (@alliance4youth) October 29, 2020
Check off your @CareInActionUS to-do list:
If you need to return a mail-in ballot: drop it off at a dropbox or your elections office.
If you need to vote in person, DM @CareInActionUS to make a plan.
If youâve already voted by mail, track your ballot:
If you're a voter in FL, GA, MI, NC, OH, PA, SC, TX, or WI who doesn't have transportation, the @CollectivePAC's #VoteToLive campaign has partnered with @lyft to provide $30 account credits for rides to & from the polls.
Follow @ivotefund and share their information on voting early with your friends and family.
Then, join them in the long-term fight to expand voter access.
Make sure your vote is counted: VOTE EARLY. pic.twitter.com/fAaXu9M1oE
— iVote (@iVoteFund) October 8, 2020
What do you thinking is the biggest reason more Texans are voting? A specific issue or what?
— TheRealDubT (@DubT4Real) November 1, 2020
They see how Trump lauds White Supremacists. They see how he caters to the super wealthy. They saw how he was revealed not only to not be a billionaire as he claimed, but to be millions of dollars in debt. He lies about everything. Heâs not under audit. He never built a wall.
They see how heâs a desperate wuss, constantly attacking anyone who affronts his vanity - he just isnât man enough to take criticism. He sucks up to dictators across the globe because he wants to be one - but heâs not smart enough.
They see how he goes on about Bidenâs mental capacity but he canât say the word Yosemite and shows massive signs of dementia and degeneration. America is on to his game of accusing his opponent of whatever his flaw is.
He made fun of Bidenâs son for being a recovering drug addict - something almost all of us, Democrat or Republican, have in our lives and love.