25 December 2020 #MAGAanalysis Christmas Edition
The Great Reawakening - A Renewed Dream Of America
@GenFlynn tells me the JOY of the MAGA Movement has returned. Our Xmas gift is A Renewed Dream For America. In case you didn't know, it's his birthday too, he's a Christmas baby!
More from Pasquale "Pat" Scopelliti
9 January 2020 #MAGAanalysis #WhileStillHere
The Great Takeover Of 2021
They've stolen our election. They're shutting us down in social media. They're attempting to remove our POTUS for a very simple reason. His victory must be erased with prejudice. This is well put below.
The Great Takeover Of 2021
They've stolen our election. They're shutting us down in social media. They're attempting to remove our POTUS for a very simple reason. His victory must be erased with prejudice. This is well put below.
In barely 48 hours the sitting President of the United States of America was erased from the digital world and cut off from the American people. His support networks burned to the ground. His 77 million voters dismissed as dissidents. That should scare all of us to the core.
— Mark Allan Bovair (@markallanbovair) January 9, 2021
30 December 2020 #MAGAanalysis #Overturn
Comments on @OptimisticCon's Article - Part 2
We'll pick up with Slide 6 shortly, but we have a couple of stops on the way to make first. Here we go!
Comments on @OptimisticCon's Article - Part 2
We'll pick up with Slide 6 shortly, but we have a couple of stops on the way to make first. Here we go!
29 December 2020 #MAGAanalysis #Overturn
— Pasquale "Pat" Scopelliti (@ThyConsigliori) December 29, 2020
Comments On @OptimisticCon Article:
The key supporting effort appears to be underway on Trump\u2019s operational timeline
As we emphasized yesterday, J.E. Dyer commands us: "But do hold the line." https://t.co/L7Bu7KzVeM
More from Society
I've seen many news articles cite that "the UK variant could be the dominant strain by March". This is emphasized by @CDCDirector.
While this will likely to be the case, this should not be an automatic cause for concern. Cases could still remain contained.
Here's how: 🧵
One of @CDCgov's own models has tracked the true decline in cases quite accurately thus far.
Their projection shows that the B.1.1.7 variant will become the dominant variant in March. But interestingly... there's no fourth wave. Cases simply level out:
https://t.co/tDce0MwO61
Just because a variant becomes the dominant strain does not automatically mean we will see a repeat of Fall 2020.
Let's look at UK and South Africa, where cases have been falling for the past month, in unison with the US (albeit with tougher restrictions):
Furthermore, the claim that the "variant is doubling every 10 days" is false. It's the *proportion of the variant* that is doubling every 10 days.
If overall prevalence drops during the studied time period, the true doubling time of the variant is actually much longer 10 days.
Simple example:
Day 0: 10 variant / 100 cases -> 10% variant
Day 10: 15 variant / 75 cases -> 20% variant
Day 20: 20 variant / 50 cases -> 40% variant
1) Proportion of variant doubles every 10 days
2) Doubling time of variant is actually 20 days
3) Total cases still drop by 50%
While this will likely to be the case, this should not be an automatic cause for concern. Cases could still remain contained.
Here's how: 🧵
One of @CDCgov's own models has tracked the true decline in cases quite accurately thus far.
Their projection shows that the B.1.1.7 variant will become the dominant variant in March. But interestingly... there's no fourth wave. Cases simply level out:
https://t.co/tDce0MwO61
Just because a variant becomes the dominant strain does not automatically mean we will see a repeat of Fall 2020.
Let's look at UK and South Africa, where cases have been falling for the past month, in unison with the US (albeit with tougher restrictions):
Furthermore, the claim that the "variant is doubling every 10 days" is false. It's the *proportion of the variant* that is doubling every 10 days.
If overall prevalence drops during the studied time period, the true doubling time of the variant is actually much longer 10 days.
Simple example:
Day 0: 10 variant / 100 cases -> 10% variant
Day 10: 15 variant / 75 cases -> 20% variant
Day 20: 20 variant / 50 cases -> 40% variant
1) Proportion of variant doubles every 10 days
2) Doubling time of variant is actually 20 days
3) Total cases still drop by 50%
