BC TRADING
Saved by @Alex1Powell

Open letter to all S&P 500 benchmarked managers:

On Friday 12/18 at market close, $TSLA will enter the S&P 500 Index at an approximate 1.5% weight - the sixth largest weight in the S&P 500 index after $AAPL, $MSFT, $AMZN, $GOOGL, and $FB.

 2/Goldman says 90% of you don’t own $TSLA, and you probably never had much interest in owning it, since it trades at 169x consensus 2021 EPS, and is +665% YTD. Surely you can ignore it for a little longer, and wait for it to come back down to Earth.

That would be a huge mistake.
3/ CNBC talking heads who know nothing about $TSLA have long proclaimed it to be overvalued. Celebrity shorts and sell side analysts who blindly compare it to other auto companies have been wrong about TSLA for years. Investors who I think are smart sound like empty suits...
4/ when they try to explain why $TSLA keeps going up.

I’ll tell you why $TSLA keeps going up, and why it could double again in 2021 (at 1.5% wt, a double will cost you 150 bp performance).

First, EVs will soon replace gas-powered cars, yet EVs today are just 3% of global SAAR.
5/ As with IPhone, once a customer goes EV, he/she never goes back. By 2025, EVs are likely to be 20% of global SAAR. Do the math: 20/3 = 6.7x = 46% CAGR.

Second, $TSLA is by far the global EV market leader, with 25% YTD global EV share. TSLA continues to grow its share...
6/ because $TSLA keeps increasing its TAM. The Y CUV almost tripled US TAM from 24% to 65%; in 2021, the Cybertruck iwill expand it to 86%. Like iPhone, ICE-brand EVs can’t compete with TSLA’s iconic brand, battery range, power, FSD/software, and cost. And ICE-brands are tainted.
7/ Valuation: This is where normally smart people get off track. With $TSLA vols and EPS growing by 50%+ per year, no portfolio mgr would put a auto mfr P/E of 8-10x on TSLA. If one looks at 2022/2023, my P/Es are 67x 2022 EPS and 43x 2023 EPS. That’s a 2022 PEG of 1.3x.
8/ There are no mega cap growth companies forecasted to grow by 50%+ per year trading at $TSLA ‘s 1.3X 2022 PEG. FB has the cheapest PEG at 1.1x; AMZN and GOOG are both at 1.3x, but all with lower growth. R1000G trades at 2x forward growth. S&P 500 trades at 3x forward growth.
9/ What is $TSLA worth? With an 2025 EV adoption rate of 20% and assuming TSLA holds its 25% EV share, with lower ASP, and no Reg Credits, I get 2025 EPS of $24. At a 50x P/E (2x PEG), that’s $1,200 by 2025. At a 9.5% disct rate, that’s $830. With a 100x P/E, both values double.
10/ Between now and Friday 12/18 at the close, the trade for S&P index funds will be: Buy $TSLA, sell everything else in the S&P 500 benchmark.

You might want to think about doing the same. Then you can sleep at night, knowing that holding TSLA at a 1.5% weight can’t hurt you.

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Cory Doctorow #BLM
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There is no shortage of takes about what's going on with Gamestop (and other surging stocks), Robinhood and Reddit's r/wallstreetbets, many of them contradictory - at least on the face of them. But I think it's possible for most of these takes to be right. Here's how.

1/


First you need to understand the underlying mechanics of the story. Stock markets are fundamentally a way of making bets, including bets on the outcome of other peoples' bets, and bets on the outcomes of THOSE bets.

2/

All this complexity creates lots of exploitable opportunities. Some of these opportunities are considered legitimate and are given respectable names like "arbitrage." Others are considered illegitimate, and are called disreputable things like "stock manipulation."

3/

A hypothetical Martian observing all this through a telescope could not tell you which kinds of bets were honest and which were dishonest, because the difference isn't about any objective standard, but rather, about power.

4/

The strategies of powerful people are legit, while the strategies of their would-be dethroners are not legit. Sometimes, even outright frauds are OK if they're done by people with enough power.

5/
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@AnandableAnand
How to get rich trading (without getting lucky)

Complete beginner’s guide to wealth of Rs 10 Cr in 10 years

Step 1: start trading live

1/n

Nothing can substitute experience of live trading

No amount of back-test, studies or indicators can substitute training your mind with screen time

As a beginner, In live trading, you will make losses almost everyday

2/n

So here are the conditions which you can’t violate in first year
If you can’t follow these rules, this document is not for you

Start with trading capital of Rs 1 lakhs

Max loss per trade 0.25%, i.e. 250 Rs

Max loss for the day, 1%, i.e. Rs 1000

Max 6 trades in a day

3/n

I know, these conditions will cripple you in terms of what all you can trade and how

But just like any start up, trading is also about making it through initial gruelling constraints of life

You will also learn, how to turn these adverse rules to your advantage

4/n

Btw, you can sell directional banknifty options, obviously you can buy options, can do cash stock trading and much more under these conditions

Think about it, you will be do all kinds of instruments, just that PNL will not be roller coaster ride or exciting like a casino

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Aditya Todmal
Aditya Todmal
@AdityaTodmal
DJ @ITRADE191 multiple chart analysis for INTRADAY TRADING.

1. Core setup
2. Pivot points trades
3. PDH/PDL trades
4. Open interest addictions combined with rejections on charts.
5. Website to confirm bias

Very quick read.

Share if you liked for the benefit of everyone.

•Main setup of @ITRADE191
He used this setup daily for all trades.

1. EMA crossover 10/20
2. Supertrend 10/3
3. Vwap
4. RSI >


•Volume always greater than


•Candle Rejecting from


•Pivot settings
STOCKLEARNINGS , TRADING , DJ SETUP
Trader knight
Trader knight
@Traderknight007
Life is a continuous journey of going through peaks and troughs of Happiness and struggle.

We can only see the Happy part of other lives, but ignore what they might have gone through to achieve that.


But let me tell you, even if someone is at ease right now, doesn't mean that he will continue to be at ease for their whole life.

The struggle will come again and we will have to go through it ,whatever we do, whoever we are , we have to cross that river of pain.

Even,In trading there are times when nothing works out, you go through long time and money draw-downs.

Even if you think you are a master, you have to go through it.

If you are struggling right now, don't lose hope as the tables will turn.

But remember to work as hard as you can and do as much good work as you can in your ease or Joyful time of life, because the tables will turn again.

Thank you for reading.

Trader knight.
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Kirtan A Shah
Kirtan A Shah
@KirtanShahCFP
Learn about the STEEL SECTOR in this thread

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Do ‘re-tweet’ & help us educate more investors (1/22)
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The metal sector is broadly divided into 2,
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This thread focuses on Ferrous & hence Steel (2/22)

To start, lets understand with how steel is made (its important).
Iron ore is mined, it is then first converted to Iron & Iron is then converted to Steel. There are 3 processes of making steel
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ALL , SECTORLEARNINGS , STEELSECTOR

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The absolute best 15 scanners which experts are using.

Got these scanners from the following accounts:

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f1talks.pl
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Oleg Karpov pisze, że gdyby Siergiej Sirotkin zdobył w pierwszej części sezonu więcej punktów od Strolla, to jego kontrakt z automatu zostałby przedłużony na kolejny sezon. Tak się nie stało i Williams ma możliwość szukania innych opcji i to właśnie robi. #F1pl

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Tyle można znaleźć w oświadczeniach prasowych... 😂😂😂
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THREAD:

80 Films with the biggest Plot Twists that will blow your mind.

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ArmaniTalks \U0001f399\U0001f525
ArmaniTalks 🎙🔥...
@ArmaniTalks
Your Most PRECIOUS Currencies:

-Energy

-Time

-Attention

-Trust

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-Loyalty

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Only give these currencies to high value people. Never spend these currencies on low value shitheads eg: trolls, weasels, snakes, naysayers etc.

'Wait, I thought money was the most important currency?'

Nah.

Once you adopt abundance mentality, you realize their is no shortage of money.

Making the dollars your most important currency will have you leading an empty life.

Time to flip your perspective.

👇

▪Energy

When you strip yourself to the core, you are an emotional creature.

Emotions are your internal worlds energy.

Harnessing that energy is crucial for leveraging yourself to obtain whatever you want.

You have a finite amount everyday, so spend it wisely.

▪Time

A second that is lost will never be returned.

You start valuing the hell out of this currency the more you mature.

As the years start adding up, you realize time is precious.

You must always have a scarcity mindset towards time.

Once you do so, you will not be lazy.

▪Attention

You can be here, but not present.

Attention is completely mental.

Giving someone your attention means you are clearing up mental bandwidth to make room for them.

Only give your attention to people who help you grow.

For the negative ones?

Ignore their existence
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