About 75% of this group of #superforecasters say more than 10% but less than 20% (the red line in the graph below)
@superforecaster
Thread (2/10)
https://t.co/3fhFR1lXFy
The History of Remote Work
A look back before we zoom too far into the future...🚀
#FutureOfWork #WorkforceFuturist
Thread (1/10)
https://t.co/4SxOJDx8HG
About 75% of this group of #superforecasters say more than 10% but less than 20% (the red line in the graph below)
@superforecaster
Thread (2/10)
https://t.co/3fhFR1lXFy
Roy Amara
Our predictions tend to be made through foggy Zoom goggles and constrained by the Gregorian calendar.
Thread (3/10)
In Britain from the 1600s to the mid-19th century work did not take place in factories but in people’s houses.
Workers made dresses, shoes, and matchboxes in their kitchens or bedrooms.
Thread (4/10)
https://t.co/1A52zT4kiP
“what will happen in 2021?”
📺 streaming entertainment into our homes
🚗 electricity powers our wheels
📚 books will read to us
Thread (5/10)
https://t.co/JYY5fXcBTT
From the history of remote work, to a future of work scenario for some.
from @shl at @gumroad
No Sweat...
Thread (6/10)
https://t.co/KicHWzHGaj
From a blockchain version of Upwork
to freelancer platforms paying #crypto @LaborXNews
Thread (7/10)
https://t.co/szlj5tJJ3Z
From improving innovation in virtual teams using network analysis to better sales productivity.
Best People Analytics Resources of 2020 from @david_green_uk
Thread (8/10)
https://t.co/gx546FSHwO
Recommended reading for Workforce Futurists
"The future of work, with a feminist perspective"
Thread (9/10)
https://t.co/ScbCIXV5Vg
Workforce Futurist Newsletter
for regular essays, update articles (like this)
on #Orgdev, technology, #HR, #HRTech, demographics and more…
Thread (10/10)
https://t.co/774xNODMBz
More from Tech
"I really want to break into Product Management"
make products.
"If only someone would tell me how I can get a startup to notice me."
Make Products.
"I guess it's impossible and I'll never break into the industry."
MAKE PRODUCTS.
Courtesy of @edbrisson's wonderful thread on breaking into comics – https://t.co/TgNblNSCBj – here is why the same applies to Product Management, too.
There is no better way of learning the craft of product, or proving your potential to employers, than just doing it.
You do not need anybody's permission. We don't have diplomas, nor doctorates. We can barely agree on a single standard of what a Product Manager is supposed to do.
But – there is at least one blindingly obvious industry consensus – a Product Manager makes Products.
And they don't need to be kept at the exact right temperature, given endless resource, or carefully protected in order to do this.
They find their own way.
make products.
"If only someone would tell me how I can get a startup to notice me."
Make Products.
"I guess it's impossible and I'll never break into the industry."
MAKE PRODUCTS.
Courtesy of @edbrisson's wonderful thread on breaking into comics – https://t.co/TgNblNSCBj – here is why the same applies to Product Management, too.
"I really want to break into comics"
— Ed Brisson (@edbrisson) December 4, 2018
make comics.
"If only someone would tell me how I can get an editor to notice me."
Make Comics.
"I guess it's impossible and I'll never break into the industry."
MAKE COMICS.
There is no better way of learning the craft of product, or proving your potential to employers, than just doing it.
You do not need anybody's permission. We don't have diplomas, nor doctorates. We can barely agree on a single standard of what a Product Manager is supposed to do.
But – there is at least one blindingly obvious industry consensus – a Product Manager makes Products.
And they don't need to be kept at the exact right temperature, given endless resource, or carefully protected in order to do this.
They find their own way.
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I’m torn on how to approach the idea of luck. I’m the first to admit that I am one of the luckiest people on the planet. To be born into a prosperous American family in 1960 with smart parents is to start life on third base. The odds against my very existence are astronomical.
I’ve always felt that the luckiest people I know had a talent for recognizing circumstances, not of their own making, that were conducive to a favorable outcome and their ability to quickly take advantage of them.
In other words, dumb luck was just that, it required no awareness on the person’s part, whereas “smart” luck involved awareness followed by action before the circumstances changed.
So, was I “lucky” to be born when I was—nothing I had any control over—and that I came of age just as huge databases and computers were advancing to the point where I could use those tools to write “What Works on Wall Street?” Absolutely.
Was I lucky to start my stock market investments near the peak of interest rates which allowed me to spend the majority of my adult life in a falling rate environment? Yup.
Ironies of Luck https://t.co/5BPWGbAxFi
— Morgan Housel (@morganhousel) March 14, 2018
"Luck is the flip side of risk. They are mirrored cousins, driven by the same thing: You are one person in a 7 billion player game, and the accidental impact of other people\u2019s actions can be more consequential than your own."
I’ve always felt that the luckiest people I know had a talent for recognizing circumstances, not of their own making, that were conducive to a favorable outcome and their ability to quickly take advantage of them.
In other words, dumb luck was just that, it required no awareness on the person’s part, whereas “smart” luck involved awareness followed by action before the circumstances changed.
So, was I “lucky” to be born when I was—nothing I had any control over—and that I came of age just as huge databases and computers were advancing to the point where I could use those tools to write “What Works on Wall Street?” Absolutely.
Was I lucky to start my stock market investments near the peak of interest rates which allowed me to spend the majority of my adult life in a falling rate environment? Yup.
