The July 2021 edition of 'Netra' (our 'Early Warning & Signals' guide through charts) is out now!😎

Check out this thread👇 for the latest update.

If you want the full document, download it here: https://t.co/wkwXBkvafQ

Auto & Ancillaries generally outperform Nifty in most upcycles. Can this sector repeat the same? If it does, it will be quite an opportunity!

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Higher oil prices may not be all that bad, at least until they aren’t 'hurting'.

So the next time you see higher prices at the petrol pump, think about higher exports for India as a consolation.😑

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India's FX reserves are higher than its external debt. That makes India better-placed to withstand external vulnerabilities like a ‘Taper Tantrum’ & makes it a ‘Buy the Dip’ play on a tantrum.

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Income-inequality is a sticky & legacy issue in India. Crises causes the weak to become weaker & calls for a policy intervention.

More often than not, the best curve is faster growth, not redistribution!

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Credit growth has been declining for many quarters. Industrial credit has been contracting.

Are we at the cusp of a recovery? If demand recovers, we have a good chance. Financials will benefit immensely from this.

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Inflationists will tell you that bond markets are under the control of central banks. But are they really?

When was the last time the yield on Junk bonds became negative, while inflation & growth were rebounding? Never!

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Market-implied measures of inflation are better at indicating inflationary pressures than Central Bank rhetoric or economist consensus readings.

In fact, market participants have missed 3 decades of disinflation in developed markets!

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'Value' & 'Growth' styles have diverged over the last decade and COVID accelerated the trend towards Growth.

This divergence is now at a historic extreme. Buckle up!

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In the wake of the 2008 financial crisis, People Bank of China came out all guns blazing & kept firing for far too long! It is not repeating the same mistake again. This could have negative implications for commodities.

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Shortage of manufacturing labor is a leading driver for 'Robot' demand in China, met by imports from Japan.

Is it an indication of a new era of automation & artificial intelligence, causing unemployment?

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First thread of the year because I have time during MCO. As requested, a thread on the gods and spirits of Malay folk religion. Some are indigenous, some are of Indian origin, some have Islamic


Before I begin, it might be worth explaining the Malay conception of the spirit world. At its deepest level, Malay religious belief is animist. All living beings and even certain objects are said to have a soul. Natural phenomena are either controlled by or personified as spirits

Although these beings had to be respected, not all of them were powerful enough to be considered gods. Offerings would be made to the spirits that had greater influence on human life. Spells and incantations would invoke their


Two known examples of such elemental spirits that had god-like status are Raja Angin (king of the wind) and Mambang Tali Arus (spirit of river currents). There were undoubtedly many more which have been lost to time

Contact with ancient India brought the influence of Hinduism and Buddhism to SEA. What we now call Hinduism similarly developed in India out of native animism and the more formal Vedic tradition. This can be seen in the multitude of sacred animals and location-specific Hindu gods