THREAD: The top 0.1% of ideas I’ve stumbled upon on the internet.
The rabbit holes (without the distractions).
1. Directional Arrows of Progress
“Study the undeniable arrows of progress.” - @wolfejosh
• The future is kinda like a crossword puzzle.
• Nobody is going to spell out for you - but clues exist.
• Wolfe uses the trend line of history as clues for the future.
• E.g. Look at this directional arrow of progress
• Every time the computer gets more powerful, smaller and closer to our bodies.
• Wolfe used this trend line to bet that Brain-Machine interfaces will be huge and started funding companies in the space.
2. The Cobra Effect
”When a measure becomes a goal, it ceases to become a measure” - @G_S_Bhogal
• British colonialists tried to reduce the snake population in India.
• They offered bounties for dead cobras with cash given out to the killers
• The incentives back-fired...
• The local population started breeding cobras & killing them.
• When the government discovered this, the reward program was scrapped.
• The cobra breeders then released their $0 snakes into the street, making the problem much worse.