Hi,just a quick message here about #IDPWD2020 .It's been a tough year for Disabled people, and i wanted to take this thread to reflect on this from my personal https://t.co/M6RAkbs9uh you will see certain organisations providing lip service for exposure...

...here's a reminder to listen to what Disabled people are saying on this day,to get a true perspective on what this day means to Disabled people. When we open up about difficult experiences, it's important that people listen, instead of being ignorant...
In 2020 alone,we have had to contend with Anti-vaxxers,inaccurate portrayals of Disabilities in media,Ableist slurs on both sides of the political spectrum, Parents with Disabled children who believe our views don't matter and during a pandemic, we have been forgotten about...
This highlights to me,that more work needs to be done in order to push for equality and acceptance for the Disabled communities, however Disabled people already share their stories,they already provide educational experiences,non-disabled people have to pull their weight...
...for change to have a chance of happening, so when you see,for example, the British Department of Work and Pensions suggest they support Disabled people, ask them why they are not members of the Disability confident scheme. We must ask these questions to have a chance...
...of making businesses and people actually think about how we are treated in society.
I wanted to end this on a happier note from me, since i found #DisabilityTwitter over 3 years ago,i have interacted and got to know some wonderful people from @wheelsofsteer to @queerlyautistic to @nolan_syreeta to @__INSA__ and more...the Disabled community has been...
...so incredibly welcoming and understanding...understanding that i rarely have offline and i could not ask for a better group of people to converse with.
Also to people like @FightForeverMTL and @TomMcwrestlepro ,i want to thank you also,for taking the time to listen (i feel like i do this a lot ,but i feel it's important) and you are prime examples of people who are not judgemental and try to understand and i thank you for that

More from Health

You gotta think about this one carefully!

Imagine you go to the doctor and get tested for a rare disease (only 1 in 10,000 people get it.)

The test is 99% effective in detecting both sick and healthy people.

Your test comes back positive.

Are you really sick? Explain below 👇

The most complete answer from every reply so far is from Dr. Lena. Thanks for taking the time and going through


You can get the answer using Bayes' theorem, but let's try to come up with it in a different —maybe more intuitive— way.

👇


Here is what we know:

- Out of 10,000 people, 1 is sick
- Out of 100 sick people, 99 test positive
- Out of 100 healthy people, 99 test negative

Assuming 1 million people take the test (including you):

- 100 of them are sick
- 999,900 of them are healthy

👇

Let's now test both groups, starting with the 100 people sick:

▫️ 99 of them will be diagnosed (correctly) as sick (99%)

▫️ 1 of them is going to be diagnosed (incorrectly) as healthy (1%)

👇
I applaud the #EUCancerPlan *BUT* caution: putting #meat 🥩 (a nourishing, evolutionary food) in the same box as 🚬 to solve a contemporary health challenge, would be basing policy on assumptions rather than robust data.

#FollowTheScience yes, but not just part of it!
THREAD👇


1/ Granted, some studies have pointed to ASSOCIATIONS of HIGH intake of red & processed meats with (slightly!) increased colorectal cancer incidence. Also, @WHO/IARC is often mentioned in support (usually hyperbolically so).

But, let’s have a closer look at all this! 🔍


2/ First, meat being “associated” with cancer is very different from stating that meat CAUSES cancer.

Unwarranted use of causal language is widespread in nutritional sciences, posing a systemic problem & undermining credibility.

3/ That’s because observational data are CONFOUNDED (even after statistical adjustment).

Healthy user bias is a major problem. Healthy middle classes are TOLD to eat less red meat (due to historical rather than rational reasons, cf link). So, they

4/ What’s captured here is sociology, not physiology.

Health-focused Westerners eat less red meat, whereas those who don’t adhere to dietary advice tend to have unhealthier lifestyles.

That tells us very little about meat AS SUCH being responsible for disease.

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A THREAD ON @SarangSood

Decoded his way of analysis/logics for everyone to easily understand.

Have covered:
1. Analysis of volatility, how to foresee/signs.
2. Workbook
3. When to sell options
4. Diff category of days
5. How movement of option prices tell us what will happen

1. Keeps following volatility super closely.

Makes 7-8 different strategies to give him a sense of what's going on.

Whichever gives highest profit he trades in.


2. Theta falls when market moves.
Falls where market is headed towards not on our original position.


3. If you're an options seller then sell only when volatility is dropping, there is a high probability of you making the right trade and getting profit as a result

He believes in a market operator, if market mover sells volatility Sarang Sir joins him.


4. Theta decay vs Fall in vega

Sell when Vega is falling rather than for theta decay. You won't be trapped and higher probability of making profit.