Pep’s approach on Saturday bored a global audience to tears. Let’s look at:
Why he did it?
Why it worked?
And why we might have to get used to it?
A thread 1/

Pep sent Fernandinho and Rodri out in a double pivot. Since defeat at Spurs, when City set up in the traditional 4-3-3, Pep has deployed a double pivot for the last 6 matches. It stops the dm being isolated and subsequently the centre backs being exposed 2/
Pep set up like this in order to keep control. In the Spurs defeat and the derby defeats last season City lost control when the opposition countered. It was impossible to track runners on quick breaks with 1 dm and City were often all at sea 3/
With the addition of an extra dm, and consequently a more defensive approach, City were able to cope with United’s counters.
United didn’t create any big chances and only looked dangerous from set pieces 4/
City created 3 big chances, all of which were spurned. That was Pep’s plan in a nutshell, completely nullify United’s main threat and rely on City’s front 4 to create big chances. From that perspective it worked. Pep’s post match comments told the story 5/
‘They punish you when they can run. They are so dangerous. We controlled them really well’
‘When we struggle to score goals we have to be solid at the back, we had the chances’
‘We created 3 or 4 clear chances’ 6/
The entertainment factor was lost and this didn’t look like a Guardiola team. But after 12 defeats last season, often where City dominated possession and lost goals to counters, it’s hard to argue against the theory that something needed to change 7/
And Pep sees the issue elsewhere, the missed chances:
‘Put the ball in the goal. That is the solution’.
The double pivot is working, we can look at how City have performed when a Fernandinho/Rodri or Gundogan/Rodri double pivot has been deployed this season (PL/CL only) 8/
In 8 matches City have won 5 and drawn 3 (United, L’pool & Porto) conceding 2 goals .
In the other 8 matches City have won 5, drawn 2 (Leeds & West Ham) and lost 1 (Spurs) conceding 5 goals 9/
The one match left out of this analysis probably best illustrates the stability the double pivot provides. City started with a Fernandinho/Rodri double pivot against Leicester. On 51 mins with the score 1-1, Pep brought Delap on for Fernandinho and abandoned the double pivot 10/
City suffered a 5-2 defeat.
So, with City now on a run of 6 consecutive clean sheets it was no surprise to see Pep stick with the shape throughout the 90 mins at Old Trafford and not go chasing the 3pts 11/
Currently the stability the double pivot gives trumps the additional creativity an extra 8 provides for Pep. Looking at the evidence, that’s understandable.
It may be frustrating for fans but Pep’s caution might be something we have to get used to 12/
Thanks for reading!
This week we’ll focus on how the double pivot can be deployed in a more offensive style than we saw on Saturday.
And whether 4-3-3 could be revived with some tweaks in personnel 13/
@Tactical_Times @citypodcast @ZachLowy @Kaus_Pandey17 @jj_bull @StatCity @FTStands_ @TwinCityzens @NoisyPod @city_rabin @SteTudor123 @bluemoon_mcfc @GuardiolaTweets @DavidMooney @thegingerwig @BlueWolf_09 @bernardooooV3
@SamLee @jonnysmiffy @bifana_bifana @StevenMcinerney

More from For later read

Humans inherently like the act of solidarity. We are social beings. We like to huddle up and be together.
They used this against us.
They convinced us that it was an act of solidarity to flatten the curve, to wear a mask for others, to take the vaccines for others,


and to reach #covidzero for others. They convinced us that this was for the greater good of society.
In reality, this couldn't be further away from the truth. They have divided us and broken the core structure of our society. They have dehumanized us with their masks.

They set us against each other into clans on opposite sides of a spectrum. They have turned us into aggressive beings fighting for our survival. Some of us fear harm from the virus, others fear harm from the vaccine, and yet others fear harm from the attack on our civilization.

We are all on a flight or fight mode. We are all operating under the influence of fear. We must collect ourselves and reflect on what has happened over the last year.
How is this for the greater good of society?

They used a tactical warfare strategy against us.
'Divide and conquer'.
We fell for it.
Now we must become aware of it and fight back.
We must reunite. We must find true solidarity to save our world. To free ourselves. To regain our autonomy.
I should mention, this is why I keep talking about this. Because I know so many people who legally CAN'T.

How do I know they have NDAs, if they can't talk legally about them? Because they trusted me with their secrets... after I said something. That's how they knew I was safe.


Some of the people who have reached out to me privately have been sitting with the pain of what happened to them and the regret that they signed for YEARS. But at the time, it didn't seem like they had any other option BUT to sign.

I do not blame *anyone* for signing an NDA, especially when it's attached to a financial lifeline. When you feel like your family's wellbeing is at stake, you'll do anything -- even sign away your own voice -- to provide for them. That's not a "choice"; that's survival.

And yes, many of the people whose stories I now know were pressured into signing an NDA by my husband's ex-employer. Some of whom I *never* would have guessed. People I thought "left well." Turns out, they've just been *very* good at abiding by the terms of their NDA.

(And others who have reached out had similar experiences with other Christian orgs. Turns out abuse, and the use of NDAs to cover up that abuse, is rampant in a LOT of places.)

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The entire discussion around Facebook’s disclosures of what happened in 2016 is very frustrating. No exec stopped any investigations, but there were a lot of heated discussions about what to publish and when.


In the spring and summer of 2016, as reported by the Times, activity we traced to GRU was reported to the FBI. This was the standard model of interaction companies used for nation-state attacks against likely US targeted.

In the Spring of 2017, after a deep dive into the Fake News phenomena, the security team wanted to publish an update that covered what we had learned. At this point, we didn’t have any advertising content or the big IRA cluster, but we did know about the GRU model.

This report when through dozens of edits as different equities were represented. I did not have any meetings with Sheryl on the paper, but I can’t speak to whether she was in the loop with my higher-ups.

In the end, the difficult question of attribution was settled by us pointing to the DNI report instead of saying Russia or GRU directly. In my pre-briefs with members of Congress, I made it clear that we believed this action was GRU.