Buzz Chronicles
Follow
  • Home
  • Threads
    • Daily Charts
    • Most Popular
    • Most Recent
  • Authors
  • Categories
    • Life
    • Tech
    • Culture
    • Politics
    • Society
    • Fun
    • See All Categories
  • About

Authors Josh Khalili

7 days 30 days All time Recent Popular
Josh Khalili
Josh Khalili
@josh_khalili
1/ @mjmauboussin's book Expectations Investing is a masterclass in valuation & strategy

His framework uses price-implied expectations to assess companies, an elegant way to invert valuation

https://t.co/kESplMN3nW

To practice these concepts, I wrote a case study on Chipotle⤵️

2/ Chipotle is the leading fast casual restaurant chain across the US, with almost 3,000 owned & operated locations

They benefit from strong unit economics and a trusted brand

We'll discuss consensus estimates, competitive landscape, and expected

3/ We must first identify the price-implied expectations based on key value drivers

After finding the consensus estimates, investors can seek opportunities in the expectations - looking for a divergence from the market's assumptions

Let's start with Chipotle's sales growth

4/ Chipotle has grown revenues from $3.9B to $7.55B over the past 5 years, at a 5 year CAGR of 14.1%

Analysts estimate a 13.7% consensus growth rate based on 5-7% same store sales growth, 8% additional store openings per year, and steady digital sales contribution


5/ Next is operating profit margin, which measures profitability from core operations

Chipotle has slowly been growing its margin, now at 10.67%

Analysts expect high margins of 15.75%, with incremental profits from digital orders and unit-level margin growth contributing
VALUATION
  • Page 1 of 1
How does it work?
  • 💬 Reply to a thread with "@buzz_chronicles save" or "@buzz_chronicles save as category"
    🤖 Our bot will send you a link to your own folder on Buzz Chronicles. The thread will be saved in a form of an easy-to-read article
    📁 All your saved threads will be available at buzzchronicles.com/your_twitter_handle
Buzz Chronicles
  • Explore
  • Threads
  • Daily Charts
  • Authors
  • Categories
  • About
  • Terms of Service

Copyright © 2021 Buzz Chronicles - All right reserved