Authors Maddy Thimont Jack
7 days
30 days
All time
Recent
Popular
With 10 days to go, there are three main outcomes of the #Brexit talks:
1) no deal
2) the two sides are still talking but run out of time - qu if can find other ways to buy more time
3) a deal is reached which the UK ratifies & EU provisionally applies
In some ways, option one is the most simple
If the two sides walk away then we dont need to see the govt recalling UK parliament & the european parliament also doesn't need to vote
But no deal isnt a sustainable endstate - lots of reasons the UK will need to work with EU in the future
While I dont think UK will be straight back to the negotiating table - esp if PM unwilling to compromise in current circumstances - there will still be unresolved issues
Option two is probably the most challenging - where both sides think there is a deal to be done but the clock just runs out...
They may want to buy more time for talks but as @GeorginaEWright has pointed out, it is really much more complicated than that:
Which means that for many, option 3 (a deal) is really the best outcome
Although @aliceolilly has pointed out recall has been complicated by covid rules: https://t.co/kPaA7vXT32
There is still - just about - enough time for the UK parliament to pass implementing legislation
1) no deal
2) the two sides are still talking but run out of time - qu if can find other ways to buy more time
3) a deal is reached which the UK ratifies & EU provisionally applies
In some ways, option one is the most simple
If the two sides walk away then we dont need to see the govt recalling UK parliament & the european parliament also doesn't need to vote
But no deal isnt a sustainable endstate - lots of reasons the UK will need to work with EU in the future
While I dont think UK will be straight back to the negotiating table - esp if PM unwilling to compromise in current circumstances - there will still be unresolved issues
Option two is probably the most challenging - where both sides think there is a deal to be done but the clock just runs out...
They may want to buy more time for talks but as @GeorginaEWright has pointed out, it is really much more complicated than that:
Extending the transition period is a lovely idea - in theory. But in practice, it's a total minefield and not clear it can be done in time. Why? Thread.
— Georgina Wright (@GeorginaEWright) December 21, 2020
Which means that for many, option 3 (a deal) is really the best outcome
Although @aliceolilly has pointed out recall has been complicated by covid rules: https://t.co/kPaA7vXT32
There is still - just about - enough time for the UK parliament to pass implementing legislation
Quick thread on recall, coronavirus, Brexit, and why it\u2019s all a bit more complicated than usual.
— Dr Alice Lilly (@aliceolilly) December 20, 2020
So: recall happens at the request of the government. Parliament cannot recall itself. Explainer here: https://t.co/4myCgbpUqM