for positional straddle - i prefer monthly expiry [because of higher premium and comfortable to manage monthly options]
for positional strangle/IC - i prefer weekly expiry [as it is easy to get 15 points every week then getting 60 points in whole month]
views are welcome..

Story of this week:
Gap pe gap.. gap pe gap.. milta hai.
lekin entry nahi milti

Most risky position of option selling is ovenight straddle/strangle as we carry risk of black swan event.
Lets try to find the solution can we mitigate or reduce this risk?

[1/n]

Will try to explain with 24th Feb 22 gap down [3.2%] how the strategy wise impact looks like. assumed cap 25L

1⃣ say we deploy full capital i.e. for 1.6L 1 lot we trade. attached pic shows impact on various strategies. in straddle we lost highest 8.5% of cap,
[2/n]

in strangle lost in range of 2.4 - 2% .
in iron-fly loss of 2% &
iron condor [with 200 points hedge] 0.5%

Now, these numbers can be on much higher side if gap is bigger or say circuit. This assumes we exit at open - if we stay till close numbers are worst.

[3/n]

2⃣ now lets reduce position size take 1 lot per 2 Lac or 2.5 La... bot files attached

by doing this we reduce impact of naked position below 6% for straddle & below 1.5% for strangles
same time, ironfly & iron condor impact down to 1.15% & 0.3% respectively

[4/n]

3⃣ now lets see impact if we trade 1 lot every 5 lacs.
impact of strangles and iron condors is with in limit on overall capital [< 0.75%]

idea is to chose your battle wisely.

to sum-up:
1⃣ Prefer hedged strategies [ironfly/IC (with closer hedges)] as compared to naked

[5/n]

After my face2face received many request on making video on Data Analysis in Excel.
Tanking first step in that direction made a small video on how to do data Analysis in excel.
what you will learn?
1. Thought process,
2. How to get EOD data
3.

@yogeeswarpal

Locking in profit is and important aspect of trading. profitable trade turning into loser can have very negative impact on your psychology. few tricks how i do it.
1. If I have naked call/ put buy - i will convert into Spread by selling otm CE/PE
2. for bull call spread -
[1/3]

book existing bull call spread and execute another bull call spread with lower debit
3. If we are in last 2 weeks of Expiry - can convert bull call spread in to ratio or butterfly.
4. If we have naked CE/PE sell - hedge it with otm CE/PE [credit spread]

[2/3]

5. if we have PE credit spread - can add ce credit spread [convert to Iron condor]
this list is just 2% of what we can do with options. understand the logic of each strategy and transition from one strategy to another.
[3/3]

@vivekthebaria Fully agree.I work based on similar calculation
1. Generate some return from investing funds in liquid, nifteebees,stocks
2. Pledging it - use for option trading - even with 10 points per week can- get 28% p.a.
3. Once u do this consistently. Next step, how to improve returns.

#FreeTip
Basic rule for day trading in option buying for beginners.
1) Stick to monthly atm options.
2) Suppose u have a capital of Rs 5 lacs. Your max risk appetite is 1% which is 5k. Assume u look at BNF chart and find a buy setup at 35000 ...

...
with a stop of 34900 ( 100 point difference). This essentially means that the 35000 atm options will have a stop of Rs 200 ( delta 0.5) assuming all other things are equal. So the number of lots U should typically deal with based on 1% Risk on 5 lacs capital ...

....
is 5000 / 200, which is 25 , ie 1 lot. If your risk appetite is 2%, then u are allowed to take 50, ie 2 lots. Hence if option price is say, Rs 400, ur stop will be 200 and u have to deal with one lot which means your deployment is 25 x 400 = Rs 10,000....

...
On the contrary if you deploy the full amount, 500000/(25x400) = 1250 , 50 lots, u r bound to lose the capital at the shortest possible time.
3) This might appear ridiculous, but this is the only way to go steady with control over risk.

Option stop difference is Rs 50 and not Rs 200 as mentioned. Simple calculation overlooked. Accordingly number of lots will increase . However concept remains unchanged.

A THREAD

Topic: HOW TO TRADE IN RISING PREMIUMS SCENARIO

Option sellers specially Straddle sellers feel that rising premiums give them excellent opportunity to make easy money. So what they are seeing is the theta aspect of options & ignoring the delta/gamma/vega forces.

1/

With rising premiums come high delta moves. There is a reason why premiums are all increasing up in the first place. High uncertainty & fear is what's controlling the markets during such times. So a volatile 200 point move in nifty is always on the cards.

2/

Adjusting during such delta moves involves high slippages. Such costs go in our system & are irrecoverable. So if the ATM straddle is around 400 & after 200 point downmove, the next straddle is at 450 & the loss is not just 50points but compounded much more.

3/

Also there are chances that there is no decay throughout the day. So a straddle seller has to take that heavy risk of carrying it forward & chances of gap openings are high during such times. If converted into Ironfly, then the cost of the wings is too expensive.

4/

Thus cutting down the initial credit significantly.

There will also be very few instances when premiums don't fall till expiry day. So with each delta move the cost of holding a straddle gets accumulated & pressure keeps mounting for the stubborn option sellers.

5/

WHAT IS OPEN INTEREST, HOW TO ANALYZE IT AND DOES IT WORK?

In the thread I'll explain everything about Open interest and also all the tools used to analyze it and my personal opinion.

THIS IS THE ONLY THREAD YOU'LL EVER NEED ON OPEN INTEREST.

1: What is Oi?

Support if Mr A buys 10 lots of 17000ce in Nifty and Mr B sells 10 lots of call in Nifty then the total Oi on 17000 strike price will be 10.

So Oi is basically the number of outstanding contracts which are not squared off.

2: What is Oi used for?

Oi is only used to determine support and resistance on a particular strike price.

For eg: Nifty 16000pe has the highest Oi and 16200pe has to highest Oi.

So 16000 and 16200 level can be considered as good supports.

In the same way, 16500 ce has highest Oi and it can be considered as a resistance.

3: But why?

Highest Oi at 16500ce indicates that highest number of people have sold it BUT it also means that highest number of people have Bought it!

If 16500 acts as resistance, the option will go to 0 and all the buyers will lose money.

Covered Debit spread adjustment (In case of market reverse)
Also covered one of the straddle adjustments

Hope you get to learn something 🙂

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