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For all the stupid motherfuckers out there arguing that (and I quote this figure from some stupid motherfucker arguing with me) 99.97% of people will be fine.
First of all: your math is wrong. The 10:1 assumption on symptomatic to asymptomatic cases is just that: an assumption. Maybe true in NY and NJ, likely not elsewhere ... yet.
Second, just sticking to cases, and not stopping tom punch holes in the "a quarter of Americans have had it, so HERD IMMUNITY, YAY!!!" complete and utter horse shit you're peddling, we we had 143K new cases yesterday, and that's *without* the Thanksgiving surge in 5-7 days hence.
Let's be really generous and unrealistic and say that 2% of COVID *cases* end up in the ICU.
We currently have about 65K COVID cases hospitalized and 17K of those are in the ICU.
Confidence intervals of median ICU stay in the best studies we have are 5 - 19 days. One study showed 25% of patients needing over 30 days.
For all the stupid motherfuckers out there arguing that (and I quote this figure from some stupid motherfucker arguing with me) 99.97% of people will be fine.
\U0001f9f5For months, healthcare professionals have been hanging on to the guardrails of the top deck of the Titanic.
— Kari Jerge, MD, FACS (she/her) (@kari_jerge) November 29, 2020
We have been screaming at the top of our lungs that there is an iceberg dead ahead and begging the captain to turn the wheel.
We have had other passengers who are
First of all: your math is wrong. The 10:1 assumption on symptomatic to asymptomatic cases is just that: an assumption. Maybe true in NY and NJ, likely not elsewhere ... yet.
Second, just sticking to cases, and not stopping tom punch holes in the "a quarter of Americans have had it, so HERD IMMUNITY, YAY!!!" complete and utter horse shit you're peddling, we we had 143K new cases yesterday, and that's *without* the Thanksgiving surge in 5-7 days hence.
Let's be really generous and unrealistic and say that 2% of COVID *cases* end up in the ICU.
We currently have about 65K COVID cases hospitalized and 17K of those are in the ICU.
Confidence intervals of median ICU stay in the best studies we have are 5 - 19 days. One study showed 25% of patients needing over 30 days.