šŸ¤– This example from the Google AI blog has been bothering me for ages. It canā€™t possibly be right. The density of living tissue is always nearly 1, and pears feel heavier in the hand than most fruit.

So today I resolved to Ā”SCIENCE IT! and bought a pear and can report that this one, at least, sinks in water. (Just barely. Its density must be a hair over 1.)

Camera angle isnā€™t great, but best I could doā€”itā€™s looking through the side of a glass bowl, beneath the surface level.
So whatā€™s going on here? I took the Google AI blog as saying that the answer was generated by one of their AI systems, and thatā€™s been the assumption of other analyses on the internet, but they donā€™t actually say that! Itā€™s just an example problem. https://t.co/RCdv5KF6NH
The problem comes from the StrategyQA benchmark, which I downloaded. Here it is!

The answer according to the benchmark includes a density claim of 0.59.

The plot thickensā€¦
Oh, they crowdsourced the data set from Mechanical Turk (a platform which pays random people in poor countries a few cents to do mindless tasks as quickly as possible). They were supposed to use only Wikipedia to generate Q/A pairs. But it doesnā€™t give pear density, so ā€¦
The first hit in my web search for ā€œdensity of a pearā€ explains that *sliced* pears have a density of 0.59, which presumably is where the Mechanical Turk worker got it.

(No idea where this came from; someone weighted a package of sliced pairs that was mostly air I suppose.)
So where did the (wrong) answer in the Google AI blog come from? They *donā€™t* say it was produced by an AI. Maybe itā€™s just an illustrative example, and a human turned the StrategyQA json data into cleaner text, rounding 0.59 to 0.6.

(If you are at Google AI, Iā€™d like to know!)
I canā€™t find any statement that the density of pears is 0.6 on the web, other than downstream from this ā€œchain of thoughtā€ AI experiment. But, if the answer *was* AI-generated, maybe it came from its larger-than-Google text database, or maybe it knows how to round!
And, hmm, not in the C4 dataset either, which is a biggish chunk of what language models get trained on.
Anyway, before I got distracted by Ā”SCIENCE!: if that answer *was* generated by software, how close is it to something in the training data?

If it includes e.g. ā€œThe density of a pea is about 0.9 g/cm^3, which is less than water. Thus, a pea would floatā€, Iā€™d be unimpressed
Thereā€™s many similar explanations on the web. How different is the closest to the maybe-AI-generated answer? I havenā€™t located one very close (but I donā€™t have access to the full training set, and we donā€™t have good tools for this sort of analysis).
If the answers in the Google write-ups were just illustrative examples written by a human, it would be good for the team to clarify that. I am not the only one who was wowed by them, believing them to have been machine-generated.
Here is GPT-3: ā€œPears are less dense than water, so they would float.ā€
Interestingly, this answer is found virtually verbatim on the web in lots of places, except with apples! Itā€™s a really easy answer to generate, which is making me think some more that the 0.6 gm/cm^3 answer was written by a human, based on the human-generated StrategyQA answer.
Meanwhile, thereā€™s tons of things on the web that say that pears sink.
šŸ This isnā€™t a big deal and I have spent way too much time on it. However, I can report that the pear was delicious, so it wasnā€™t a complete waste!
OK, reading the actual paper (rather than the blog post) carefully makes it fairly clear that this answer *was* written manually, as an example for zero-shot learning. I sent myself off on a wild pear chase, apparently! https://t.co/ERYmqWyQN8

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THIS.

Russia hasn't been a willing partner in this treaty for almost 3 decades. We should have ended the pretense long ago.

Naturally, Rand Paul is telling anyone who will listen to him that Trump is making a HUGE MISTAKE here.


Rand is just like his dad, Ron. 100% isolationist.

They've never grasped that 100% isolationist is not 'America First' when you examine it. It really means 'America Alone'.

The consistent grousing of pursuing military alliances with allies - like Trump is doing now with Saudi Arabia.

So of course Rand has also spent the last 2 days loudly calling for Trump to kill the arms deal with Saudi Arabia and end our alliance with them.

What Obama was engineering with his foreign policy was de facto isolationism: pull all the troops out of the ME, abandon the region to Iranian control as a client state of Russia.

Obama wasn't building an alliance with Iran; he was facilitating abandoning the ME to Iran.

Obama wouldn't even leave behind a token security force, so of course what happened was the rise of ISIS. He also pumped billions of dollars into the Iranian coffers, which the Mullah's used to fund destabilizing activity [wars/terrorism] & criminal enterprises all over the globe