Authors Imran
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THREAD: Is the Govt changing its cherrypicking strategy on child poverty claims?
SPOT THE DIFFERENCE
1. What PM wrongly claimed on child poverty in 2019, earning @StatsRegulation rebuke
2. What PM claimed on child poverty at PMQs on 18 Nov 20
In the first statement, the PM used 2010 as a baseline. At the time, relative poverty was rising and absolute poverty was historically weak - we could not see where the 400,000 claim had come from.
An earlier thread on the PM's past claims
In the PMQs claim he talks about the last 10 yrs.
If he means since 2010, he'd be repeating his incorrect claim.
Does he mean the last 10 years for which we have statistics?
That would be starting at 2009/10 - under LAB & well before benefit cuts started to bite from 2012
Let's take a look, first, at the relative child poverty measure
Looking at the last 10 years, child poverty has RISEN by 200,000 (BHC) or 300,000 (BHC)
Can the PM's 400,000 claim be borne out by the absolute child poverty stats? Remember, we normally expect this figure to fall, as society gets richer
No, absolute child poverty fell by 100,000 on both BHC/AHC - a historically weak performance
SPOT THE DIFFERENCE
1. What PM wrongly claimed on child poverty in 2019, earning @StatsRegulation rebuke
2. What PM claimed on child poverty at PMQs on 18 Nov 20
In the first statement, the PM used 2010 as a baseline. At the time, relative poverty was rising and absolute poverty was historically weak - we could not see where the 400,000 claim had come from.
An earlier thread on the PM's past claims
THREAD:
— Imran (@imran_1) July 30, 2020
How can PM level up the country if he cannot level with the public about how many children are in poverty?
That's the question we should be asking ourselves after the @StatsRegulation ruled the PM incorrectly used child poverty statistics.
In the PMQs claim he talks about the last 10 yrs.
If he means since 2010, he'd be repeating his incorrect claim.
Does he mean the last 10 years for which we have statistics?
That would be starting at 2009/10 - under LAB & well before benefit cuts started to bite from 2012
Let's take a look, first, at the relative child poverty measure
Looking at the last 10 years, child poverty has RISEN by 200,000 (BHC) or 300,000 (BHC)
Can the PM's 400,000 claim be borne out by the absolute child poverty stats? Remember, we normally expect this figure to fall, as society gets richer
No, absolute child poverty fell by 100,000 on both BHC/AHC - a historically weak performance