SteveeRogerr Categories Bitcoin
We were offered a very open insight (but slightly flawed analysis) into top level policy perspective behind the crack down on selfhosted wallets.
https://t.co/1LTzrxHbgs 1/32
ECB President Christine Lagarde called for global regulation of #Bitcoin, saying the digital currency had been used for money laundering activities in some instances and that any loopholes needed to be closed. Follow #ReutersNext updates here: https://t.co/4MgFy4jnw5 pic.twitter.com/qlBtoDuZLW
— Reuters (@Reuters) January 13, 2021
'It is a speculative asset, by any account. If you look at the price movements... '
It starts with an economic price perspective and we can learn that ECB is closely monitoring this price movement as one of the many indicators.
So we are in the classic central bank frame 2/32
'Those who thought it would turn into a currency. Sorry, it is an asset not a currency.'
Here she summarises a classic debate on what is currency and what is needed for that. Based on the holy three: unit of account, means of payment, store of value. 3/32
The summary is classic, but too narrow and does not incorporate the wider financial history viewpoints on money, currencies and the way we pay. 4/32
ECB overlooks the de facto unit of account role of bitcoin, having been used to 200 years of having cash around whic is both the unit of account and a means of payment. 5/32
Exceptional listen on #Bitcoin.
— Joseph Skewes (@josephskewes) January 26, 2021
In particular Nic's responses to Mike's aggressive anti-BTC stance.
One dispute with Nic: Even if crypto mail list was best place to announce BTC, if Satoshi wanted fair distribution, surely creating 50% of the supply by Nov 2012 was too fast? https://t.co/e1Hpx4wWOu
#Bitcoin transaction is never really final, given the energy required to keep the network running, and obviously its scale issues will only grow over time. That said, I actually though @nic__carter "won" the debate as it were, and I was unconvinced by the threat to national 2/n
security or undermining Fed policy angles Mike put forward. Two areas that are super interesting to me. One is the issue of #Bitcoin ownership, and how concentrated it is in terms of a small % of addresses that own most of it (2% addresses > 95% of holdings I think). 3/n
made great point a lot of this is omnibus/exchange related - so exchange or fund - ie @Grayscale holds #bitcoin for multiple investors. That may well be true - but it brings up 2 other issues. One - it proves that #bitcoin doesn't really "work" without 4/n
centralisation - as this implies most people need exchanges or funds (or @Paypal) to buy it. If so, that kills off a major "bitcoin is better than gold argument" - as in reality, gold is way more decentralised (from mine supply to ownership distribution). It also brings up a 5/n
This isn't another opinion piece on #Bitcoin , in-fact, it's exactly the opposite. 👇🏼
This thread is a list of resources I have found to be useful and insightful when it comes to understanding the pros and cons of #Bitcoin .
Below, you'll find knowledgeable people 👩🏽💻, articles/essays 📝, podcasts 🎧 and videos 📹 about #Bitcoin . Enjoy!
/2 People 👩🏽💻
These individuals are valuable to listen to, whilst they are bullish, they justify their stance:
@RaoulGMI
@michael_saylor
@DTAPCAP
@APompliano
@VentureCoinist
@AlexSaundersAU
@danheld
@aantonop
@jchervinsky
@real_vijay
@lawmaster
@LynAldenContact
/3 Resources 🏢
A video library of interviews from various Bitcoin enthusiasts. 👇🏼
https://t.co/CJJvHavSOn
A great guide for new investors to Bitcoin. 👇🏼
https://t.co/fOoSfTlWr5
A portal for people to go from zero knowledge to intermediate level.
/4 Tweet threads 🐦
A great thread on rebuttals from common #Bitcoin queries/criticisms. 👇🏼
https://t.co/tPEpFMMPhH
Why companies are starting to put BTC on the balance sheet. 👇🏼
https://t.co/lL71M1A3NF
“A double-spend broke Bitcoin" debunked.
1/ Fear and Bitcoin.
— Dan Held (@danheld) January 10, 2021
Whenever Bitcoin has a bull run, naysayers try to cope with missing the boat by rationalizing why it will fail through \u201cFear, Uncertainty, and Doubt\u201d or what we Bitcoiners have nicknamed \u201cFUD.\u201d
Price needs to let volatility wear off before its next big move. Thinking 30K-40K range for the next 1-2 weeks. Then either 50K straight or after piercing 30K and bouncing back above 30K within 1-2 days.
My $BTC short-term view after long deliberation and some flip flopping is rangebound in 30K-40K until the curve and vols come off a further. Then, 50K. I wouldn't be surprised if 30K is briefly breached but the risk is to the upside. Those calling for 20K missing the big picture.
— Alex (@classicmacro) January 12, 2021
$27500-$27000 is the key area. If price heads back down to 30K, expect 30K to be breached, fall to that area, and bounce back. FAST. All very fast.

What do I do with this information?
Simple.
I'm trading the range against a core position. Buying when price pushes lower, selling when higher. It's like playing the achordeon. There's always air left inside.
Where exactly?
Nowhere.
I don't use limits for that. $BTC is liquid enough to trade at market without issues.
I'm watching PA, volume and rates for buying and euphoria as reflected in rates for reducing.
Decision making is dynamic. Nothing is set in stone. But most likely if price heads back down to 30K 'll be holding off next time. The gameplan is to have ammo to buy the dip (to redeploy). If 30K breaks absolutely no buying until down to 27Ks or back above 30K.