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I think this is debatable, and we won't know the answer for a while. There are two possible trajectories here. 1/x


Trajectory 1: The attack becomes a signal event like Ruby Ridge or Waco, and extremists use it as a rallying point going forward. They will certainly try to do this, but there are some key differences.

Primarily, the tepid federal response (which is bad on most levels) doesn't compare to those events, where LE screwed up and people died as an unambiguous result of questionable or straight bad LE action rather than the melee situation here.

Also those cases were the result of proactive federal enforcement, as opposed to a clearly defense posture here.

Trajectory 2 is backlash. There's some growing evidence for that in the snap polls from the last couple days. See:

https://t.co/lOi6DCZ9CK

https://t.co/lOi6DCZ9CK

This won't affect the diehards, but it might suggest the event won't bring a lot new blood into the movement.
1/13 In this thread, I have collected links to all videos mentioned in @adrian_horton's great @guardian article on late-night hosts' reactions to Wednesday's terrorist attack on #CapitolHill - and more. I believe that they offered some of the best

2/13 #StephenColbert: Hey, Republicans Who Supported This President: Are We Great Again Yet? - LIVE MONOLOGUE
https://t.co/CyLxDjP193 via @StephenAtHome @colbertlateshow #CapitolRiots

3/13 "Moments after voting on the Senate floor, Senator @amyklobuchar joins us from a secure location inside #CapitolBuilding and says the president is responsible for today's failed attempted coup, and she wants every person involved to be prosecuted."

4/13 "Republican @RepKinzinger joins @StephenAtHome to describe his experience inside the #CapitolBuilding during today's failed coup attempt and says that he expects conversations about using the 25th Amendment to remove the president will begin

5/13 #SethMeyers: Seth Meyers Calls For Trump's Removal After Violent Insurrection at Capitol
https://t.co/wOLtpCRkkc via @sethmeyers @LateNightSeth #CapitolRiots