I disagree with you, Alastair. I believe @PanData19 is filling in the gaps that governments have failed to fill. I encourage you to have an open mind and listen intently to what we have to say. 1/n

Here’s how @PanData19 is approaching this crisis differently from governments:
We believe that "health is a state of complete physical, mental and social well-being and not merely the absence of disease or infirmity."- @WHO 2/n
To tackle the problem holistically, we have formed a multidisciplinary team made up of immunologist, microbiologist, geneticists, data scientists, physicians, economist, psychologists, educators, public health professionals and business owners. 3/n
We have also backed ourselves with a scientific advisory board made up of prominent experts in their fields.
@MartinKulldorff
@SunetraGupta
@MLevitt_NP2013
@MichaelYeadon3
#JayBhattacharya
#SucharitBhakdi
They are supporting us every step of the way. 4/n
We believe that "the right to health is one of a set of internationally agreed human rights standards, and is inseparable or ‘indivisible’ from these other rights.” @WHO 5/n
First, the right to health includes all health conditions. As a consequence, we care to reduce total harm resulting from the pandemic not just deaths with COVID. We care about cancer patients and heart patients. We care about mental health and suicide. 6/n
@ProfKarolSikora
We also don't see a dichotomy between lives and livelihoods. These aspects of our existence are intermingled. Loss of livelihood leads to loss of wellbeing and sadly sometimes to the loss of life. 7/n
Second, since preserving the right to health is indivisible from preserving other human rights, then we must care about all human rights:
a) the right to life
b) the right to liberty & security
c) respect to private and family life
d) freedom of opinion, speech and choice
8/n
e) freedom of assembly and association
f) protection from discrimination
g) the right to work and provide for one's family
h) the right to education
i) the right to move freely
9/n
We believe that public health measures must be put in place to support individuals not coerce them & deny them their basic human rights. Lockdowns, border & school closure, mandatory PPE, mandatory vaccines, & immunity passports should all be rendered unconstitutional. 10/n
We believe that all stakeholders in a crisis must collaborate to find a targeted solution. Complex problems can only be solved through a decentralized problem-solving process. The best solutions to global problems are local solutions. 11/n
For this reason, we have endeavoured to form a global network of doctors, lawyers & grassroots organizations, spreading from the US to Australia. As we each tackle this problem from a different angle, we believe our collaboration will amplify our voices & make them be heard. 12/n
We believe that interventions should be based on needs. The #GBdeclaration takes into account the age-gradient of risk posed by the virus and proposes a Focused Protection approach. 13/n
https://t.co/8NVPHs7H5X
We believe that blanket solutions lead to a situation where the cure is far worse than the disease.
The public deserves to be empowered with accurate and unbiased information to make informed decisions not scared and fearmongered into compliance. 14/n
We believe in human agency. People are the experts at making decisions that optimize their wellbeing and health. We don't believe that those at the top can make better decisions for those at the bottom. 15/n
We believe in explanation-based science over inductive methods. Evolutionary knowledge is built on conjectures and refutations. This process relies on scientific debate. Shutting down alternative views and demonizing criticism is denying science and ending human progress. 16/n
We believe in real-life data over modelling exercises that rely on false assumptions. Assuming that all people are susceptible to a 'novel' virus and that they all carry an equal risk from it can lead to pretty disastrous predictions and actions. 17/n
Postulating that lockdowns have a positive effect on mortality then proving this theory by claiming that lives were saved by the lockdowns in comparison to the atrocious predictions of the modellers is unscientific and defeats common sense. 18/n
We believe the truth will prevail.
To end this fiasco,
We must all come together now to reopen our societies.
We must all come together to reverse the collateral damage and reduce total harm.
We must all come together to save our civilization. 19/n
@wodarg
@PanData19 is proud to be a major contributor to overcoming this challenge. We are hard at work on a blueprint that will pave the way ahead.
We will soon publish our Protocol for Reopening Society on our website. Stay on the lookout! 20/n
https://t.co/uN5Pj9DaHB

More from Abir Ballan

The corrupt Lebanese government put the country in lockdown to flatten the “revolution”. As a result of the worsening economic situation, many healthcare workers were laid off and now the Lebanese people are paying for it by being denied access to care. 1/n


Here’s what would reduce mortality in #Lebanon:
1) protecting the vulnerable
2) increasing healthcare capacity
3) supporting healthcare workers

All impossible to do in a country that is gasping for dear life. 2/n

And yet the #Lebanese people are being blamed for not following guidelines and not following the rules.
The Lebanese people are not to blame. Wearing masks, social distancing, lockdowns and stupid curfews don’t do anything. 3/n

It is those politicians who transferred their money to Swiss accounts, while #Lebanese citizens can no longer transfer university fees for their children studying abroad, who are to blame.
Stop shifting the blame to the people. 4/n

Public health practitioners like @firassabiad and @petra who have bought blindly into the narrative are reinforcing this displaced scapegoating.
Please be aware of the harm of supporting the government’s narrative. 5/n

More from Health

Now you know I love to sh-t in Harvard. But I also like accuracy. So I decided to go look at Harvard’s catalog to see its lack of military history that this article describes (they only teach history of pets it claims) and what I found shocked me! Shocked me! A thread: 1/


First off, Harvard students literally have multiple sections of military history that they can take listed. (It appears these ones are taught at MIT, so they might have to walk down the street for these) but... 2/


Say they want to stay on campus...they can only take numerous classes on war and diplomacy...3/


They have an entire class on Yalta. That’s right. An entire class on Yalta. 4/


But wait! There is more! They can take the British Empire, The Fall of the Roman Empire for those wanting traditional topics... 5/
this simple, counter narrative fact keeps cropping up all over the world.

hospital and ICU utilization has been and remains low this year.

it's terribly curious that so few of these monitoring tools provide historical baselines.

getting them is like pulling teeth.


we might think of this as an oversight until you see stuff like this:

this woman was arrested for filming and sharing the fact that their are empty hospitals in the UK.

that's full blown soviet. what possible honest purpose does that

this is the action of a police state and a propaganda ministry, not a well intentioned government and a public heath agency.

"we cannot let people see the truth for fear they might base their actions on real facts" is not much of a mantra for just governance.


90% full ICU sounds scary until you realize that 90-100% full is normal in flu season.

staffed ICU beds are expensive to leave empty. it's like flying with 15% of the plane empty. hospitals don't do that.

and all US hospitals are mandated to be able to flex to 120% ICU.

the US is currently at historically low ICU utilization for this time of year.

61% is "you're all going to go out of business" territory as is 66% full hospital use.

can you blame them for mining CARES act money? they'll die without it.
🚨Important changes to lockdown/self-isolation regulations from 5pm

The Health Protection (Coronavirus, Restrictions) (All Tiers and Self-Isolation) (England) (Amendment) Regulations 2021

£800 'house party' FPN & police can now access track & trace data

https://t.co/k9XCpVsXhC


“Large gathering offence”

As trailed by Home Secretary last week there is now a fixed penalty notice of £800 (or £400 if you pay within 14 days) for participating in an gathering of over 15 people in a private residence


Fixed Penalty Notices double for each subsequent “large gathering offence” up to £6,400

Compare:
- Ordinary fixed penalty notice is £200 or £100 if paid in 14 days
- Holding or being involved in the holding of a gathering of over 30 people is £10,000


Second big change:

Since September has been a legal requirement to sell-isolate if you test positive/notified by Track & Trace of exposure to someone else who tested positive

Police can now be given access to NHS Track & Trace data if for the purpose of enforcement/prosecution


This will make it easier for police to enforce people breaking self-isolation rules. Currently there has been practically no enforcement.

Data says only a small proportion of people meant to be self-isolating are fully doing so.
@SMILEWithmeNGO Hello @SMILEWithmeNGO I am glad to be here. Thank you for having me.

A very big welcome to everyone joining today’s conversation. Our guest today needs no introduction especially in the sphere of cancer control and advocacy. Welcome @runciecwc
#CheatCervicalCancer


@runciecwc Q1: So Runcie @runciecwc, we see all the amazing work you do as an advocate.
Can you share with us some of the work that you have been doing in cancer control in Nigeria?
#CheatCervicalCancer

@runciecwc That’s amazing. Your work speaks for you. Thanks for all you do.
Q2: What is this @WHO Global Strategy to accelerate the Elimination of CervicalCancer? Can you elaborate on it?
#CheatCervicalCancer

@runciecwc @WHO Q3: In your experience, so far what are the greatest challenges you have identified with cancer control in Nigeria?
#CheatCervicalCancer.

@runciecwc @WHO Q4: Interestingly, we have seen that your organization is part of the Coalition of CSOs against Cervical Cancer in Nigeria, @CervicalCancerN, what is the goal of this Coalition? #CheatCervicalCancer

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A THREAD ON @SarangSood

Decoded his way of analysis/logics for everyone to easily understand.

Have covered:
1. Analysis of volatility, how to foresee/signs.
2. Workbook
3. When to sell options
4. Diff category of days
5. How movement of option prices tell us what will happen

1. Keeps following volatility super closely.

Makes 7-8 different strategies to give him a sense of what's going on.

Whichever gives highest profit he trades in.


2. Theta falls when market moves.
Falls where market is headed towards not on our original position.


3. If you're an options seller then sell only when volatility is dropping, there is a high probability of you making the right trade and getting profit as a result

He believes in a market operator, if market mover sells volatility Sarang Sir joins him.


4. Theta decay vs Fall in vega

Sell when Vega is falling rather than for theta decay. You won't be trapped and higher probability of making profit.