Jacobtldr Categories Politics
As long as that is true, it's fine.
Cuomo's standard was neither consistent nor scientific. That is a clear first amendment violation.
Conservatives are crowing over this as an own the libs moment, denying that many who support public health restrictions are people of faith. This broke long standing precedent, so don't at me with your calls for originalism etc. This is just know-nothing politics by other means. https://t.co/KLeiKlp6p7
— Gregg Gonsalves (@gregggonsalves) November 26, 2020
Gorsuch is SCIENTIFICALLY RIGHT HERE.
If people can't admit that, then they are allowing their biases to
Neil Gorsuch goes off on @NYGovCuomo in the 5-4 Supreme Court ruling blocking his Covid restrictions for religious services. https://t.co/HOKmgsUAKg pic.twitter.com/dcl7o5irDd
— Sahil Kapur (@sahilkapur) November 26, 2020
This on the other hand is 100% BS.
Not a single scientist I know supports this double standard. The best ones know that the type ofvenue is irrelevant... Only the size and # of people
Sonia Sotomayor dissents: \u201cJustices of this Court play a deadly game in second guessing the expert judgment of health officials about the environments in which a contagious virus, now infecting a million Americans each week, spreads most easily.\u201d https://t.co/HOKmgtcc8Q
— Sahil Kapur (@sahilkapur) November 26, 2020
In short, it is the LEFT here using religious bias to promote an antiscientific standard and allowing the State to violate Rights.
The Liberals and CJJR should be ashamed.
Another good thread here.
A consistent standard would have passed constitutional muster.
Last night, SCOTUS issued injunctive relief to houses of worship challenging NYC\u2019s COVID-19 restrictions, the first time it has granted such relief during the pandemic. I have mixed views about the decision and early reactions to it.
— John Inazu (@JohnInazu) November 26, 2020
I feel like (when it comes to Tech) we have people making rules & certifications that can neither hear, nor see... evil.
Remember this as we call for election “Audits”.
Now, if what you are suggesting is they should do a full audit of election software + machine security, that could be worthwhile.
— Double-Wide Dreaming\u2b50\ufe0f\u2b50\ufe0f\u2b50\ufe0f (@2xwide_dreaming) November 7, 2020
But these software packages have *never* been reviewed/oversight!
When survey researchers hear about "Shy Trump" voters, we hear it as measurement error, and there's good evidence that it's vanishingly small. But I think the broader public might also be including non-response error as part of how they understand that term
As we unpack the sources of survey error, it's worth keeping our eye on some patterns. For instance, this comparison of survey averages to projected results by @gelliottmorris shows a correlation between 2016 and 2020, but also an intercept shift
Putting out some hypotheses now that can be tested as vote counts get finalized (still not done counting!) and pollsters look back at their own data
1) Everything @davidshor says here about trust and non-response: https://t.co/aXYZMc5QO5
It's tricky to test for, because surveys aren't asking about trust and we don't have great national benchmarks either. That said ...
Same defense official confirms Mayor Bowser made request for National Guard at Capitol as it was breached. Defense officials initially offered to replace police in other capacities in the city, allowing more police at Capitol specifically, source
BREAKING: A source tells me The Defense Department has just denied a request by DC officials to deploy the National Guard to the US Capitol.
— Aaron C. Davis (@byaaroncdavis) January 6, 2021
Defense official denies that DOD denied the request from D.C. officials for more support at Capitol, but acknowledges it has not yet been acted upon.
Some 340 D.C. guardsmen already were activated in anticipation of unrest, with a support role for police. Half on duty at a time. Defense officials, smarting from outcry to military's heavy involvement in June protests, sought limited role and to shield military from politics.
This is one of the starkest and clearest misinformation paths I've seen lately. And I can't stress this enough, this path is VERY well-known among misinformation reporters & researchers.
It started with tweets from folks like Pam Bondi & Rudy Giuliani that Real Clear Politics had "rescinded" its call that PA went to Biden. That was picked up and repeated verbally in a YouTube video. Then the YouTube video was shared in private FB groups
The YouTube video! Is on a verified account! Running ADS! And it gained nearly 900,000 views in just 12 hours, largely because of shares on Facebook. YT says this doesn't violate its rules 🤯 https://t.co/04METfLeOq
MEANWHILE ON FACEBOOK—a CrowdTangle search shows most of this activity is in PRIVATE FB groups, beyond what researchers and journalists can see.
Only 2.5 percent of FB activity—likes, shares, comments—is visible on public FB. I truly am *losing my mind* https://t.co/04METfLeOq
2/ While it’s long been routine for wealthy interests seeking to buy access and influence over a president to do so by making large political contributions to his campaign and allied groups, it’s unique to President Trump that these groups personally enrich him in the process.
3/ We've tracked 137 of these events since the day Trump took office. https://t.co/toIW0EJOyK
4/ And some of the big spenders have gotten their money's worth, as the NYT laid out earlier this month in a detailed report partly based on our data
5/ Groups large and small have learned that holding expensive events that the president profits from is a part of doing business in Trump's Washington, and it's paying off.
Take the AHRI, which spent $700k at Doral, and got a favorable decision within weeks