Jacobtldr Authors (((Yair Rosenberg)))

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What if Biden is actually good at this and Twitter, whose cognoscenti insisted for the entire primary that he wasn't, is actually bad at this?

Just a thought.


Biden's extraordinary polling strength, which by the way predates the coronavirus outbreak, is as much a repudiation of the political elite's collective wisdom as Trump's victory was. We should be talking more about why the elites keeping getting the electorate completely wrong.


Here's one obvious reason this keeps happening: A constant overemphasis on the votes and issues of the young, who don't typically vote, and an disinterest in the votes of seniors, who are most likely to vote. Trump won them in 2016. Biden is winning them in 2020. Take note!


Old folks are not on Twitter. They don't drive the social media conversation. Most campaign reporters are young, and naturally gravitate towards the issues of their generation. But this leads to reporting that doesn't align with the driving concerns of much of the electorate.


This is convenient, but wrong. Biden has been polling this well against Trump since late 2019. Other Democratic candidates like Warren and even Bernie (who polled pretty well) did not. This difference requires explanation if we are being honest and not projecting our preferences.