THREAD: Boris Johnson has a problem named Joe Biden: Democrats are ☑️ on UK climate leadership and ☑️ on UK defense spending increase, but in no mood to prioritize the relatively small trade deal Johnson wants to agree in Biden’s first 100 days. 1/

My new article puts the much more likely timeframe for the U.S.-U.K. #trade deal as 2022. It’s not punishment for #Brexit per se, but Brexit means the U.K. has complicated Washington’s relations with Europe, and dropped it down the global pecking order /2

I interviewed 16 senior officials and former officials on both sides of the Atlantic, and it’s clear that despite the new EU-UK settlement, Brexit will continue to change the transatlantic dynamic under Biden /3

“You’re still going to call London, but that call will be lower down in the queue,” thanks to Brexit, said @CFR_org's Charles Kupchan, former Obama/Clinton National Security Council official, and author of a new book "Isolationism" /4

Here's more: “Biden is seeking to strengthen and renew ties with the EU - Britain is not going to be a part of that,” said one person familiar with President-elect Biden’s thinking. “Boris Johnson needs a trade deal to show the domestic utility of Brexit.”not Biden’s problem /5