BC UK

Better late than never. Here we go. What does this deal mean for borders, border formalities, customs & trade facilitation?

Long one. TL:DR very little at the moment but has potential

/1

Borders
When compared to no deal the deal changes very little in terms of border procedures. All formalities and checks will still be required.

Reminder - we're not starting from 0 here – both our container ports and our ro-ro ports are already congested

/2
On top of that, all the issues related to border readiness: lack of capacity and space, IT systems not ready, shortages of customs agents, treader readiness – have not been solved.

The deal doesn’t help with that.

/3
Here is where we are:
☑️The UK will phase-in border formalities over 6 months (customs and SPS)
☑️The EU will introduce full formalities in 3 days (customs + SPS)
☑️Irish Sea border also fully operational in 3 days with some short-term SPS easements

/4
Pre-notifications (safety & security declarations) not initially required on the UK side, needed for imports into the EU.

So what's in the deal?

/5
Anti-smuggling and safety&security checks according to each side’s criteria but signs of cooperation and data exchange.

Not much of that going on on the UK's side anyway in the first 6 months.

/6
Customs cooperation
The text is actually very good. Covers standard provisions plus elements from the WTO Trade Facilitation Agreement. It’s comprehensive and encouraging.

Plus we have a Protocol on Mutual Administrative Assistance in Customs Matters

/7
(Side note - further case in point that a Mutual Administrative Assistance agreement is not the same as a trade deal and can be signed with or without one)

/8

https://t.co/QRsegE8Zm9
Non-committal language of the chapter in practice means that there is potential for deeper cooperation e.g. “consider developing joint initiatives” but no obligation.

This is in line with what we normally see in such chapters.

/9
For example 👇 from the UK’s initial proposal - a pilot for joint customs offices.

Again, plenty of scope for deeper cooperation but not initially.

/10
Ro-ro ports

Helpful language but less than in the UK's initial proposal. The EU did not commit to the proposed 2h time-limit for clearance.

/11
Pre-lodgement, advanced processing and exchange of information.

/12
Customs procedures
Full or simplified (deferred - UK). The key difference here vs no deal - no tariffs, provided that rules of origin are met. A quick explainer on how this will work below.

/13

https://t.co/Z4FJHbIebO
Simplified procedures
Interesting provision. Both parties already have simplified procedures and have previously committed to introducing the ones they don't currently have. So this is not technically new. But perhaps there is scope here for something more. Eventually.

/14
AEO and mutual recognition.
This is good. Still not that many benefits of having AEO but mutual recognition is helpful.
Commitment to allow SMEs to qualify but not many SMEs are able to given the current criteria.

/15
The only thing is, as I have often pointed out - to get mutual recognition our AEO programme needs to be compatible with EU's AEO.

Meaning total revamping of UK's AEO programme isn't happening. We can't diverge that much

/16
SPS
Little if any changes vs no deal in terms of what needs to happen at the border.
Not much on SPS in general. Read more 👇 from SPS expert.

/17

https://t.co/tWsjD2gHeF
Northern Ireland
Nothing in the deal but having a deal, in theory, means managing of the Irish Sea Border will be easier. With the new trusted trader programme and more than a light-touch approach to RoOs it should be easier.

/18
To sum it all up – in 3 days border procedures will look pretty much the same as they would under no deal. In terms of customs – obviously no tariffs (hello origin).

In the future, who knows, plenty of scope for deepening customs cooperation.

/19

More from Uk

Yesterday, of course, Jeremy Corbyn launched his Peace and Justice Project, to much excitement on here. Laudable goals too:

Take on Murdoch ✅
Green New Deal ✅
Support for food banks ✅
Speed up vaccine delivery in developing countries ✅

That's all excellent.

I'm not sure if anyone can argue with those four aims: they're irrefutable and all massively important. You bet I'd like to see Labour doing likewise; you bet I'm frustrated that it's so quiet on all of it.

HOWEVER...

Contained within the announcement was exactly the same selective blindness which makes the entire thing all too easy to shoot down - and again, means Corbyn is pretty unlikely to persuade anyone who's not already persuaded.

The sort of blindness which makes me tear my hair out.

Peace and Justice - sounds great, doesn't it? So why did the Peace and Justice project proudly announce the support of a corrupt criminal not remotely interested in either of those


Rafael Correa, former President of Ecuador. Let's run through his record, starting with the positives.

Slashed poverty from 36.7% to 22.5% ✅

Reduced inequality from 0.55 to 0.47 on the Gini index ✅

So far, so good. Except, um...

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"I really want to break into Product Management"

make products.

"If only someone would tell me how I can get a startup to notice me."

Make Products.

"I guess it's impossible and I'll never break into the industry."

MAKE PRODUCTS.

Courtesy of @edbrisson's wonderful thread on breaking into comics –
https://t.co/TgNblNSCBj – here is why the same applies to Product Management, too.


There is no better way of learning the craft of product, or proving your potential to employers, than just doing it.

You do not need anybody's permission. We don't have diplomas, nor doctorates. We can barely agree on a single standard of what a Product Manager is supposed to do.

But – there is at least one blindingly obvious industry consensus – a Product Manager makes Products.

And they don't need to be kept at the exact right temperature, given endless resource, or carefully protected in order to do this.

They find their own way.
THREAD: 12 Things Everyone Should Know About IQ

1. IQ is one of the most heritable psychological traits – that is, individual differences in IQ are strongly associated with individual differences in genes (at least in fairly typical modern environments). https://t.co/3XxzW9bxLE


2. The heritability of IQ *increases* from childhood to adulthood. Meanwhile, the effect of the shared environment largely fades away. In other words, when it comes to IQ, nature becomes more important as we get older, nurture less.
https://t.co/UqtS1lpw3n


3. IQ scores have been increasing for the last century or so, a phenomenon known as the Flynn effect. https://t.co/sCZvCst3hw (N ≈ 4 million)

(Note that the Flynn effect shows that IQ isn't 100% genetic; it doesn't show that it's 100% environmental.)


4. IQ predicts many important real world outcomes.

For example, though far from perfect, IQ is the single-best predictor of job performance we have – much better than Emotional Intelligence, the Big Five, Grit, etc. https://t.co/rKUgKDAAVx https://t.co/DWbVI8QSU3


5. Higher IQ is associated with a lower risk of death from most causes, including cardiovascular disease, respiratory disease, most forms of cancer, homicide, suicide, and accident. https://t.co/PJjGNyeQRA (N = 728,160)