The Truth About Trading (Thread)

1/ Risk Management & Consistency

Everything works in the stock market just NOT all the time. You can trade RSI, MACD, Bollinger bands, Volume, and they all will win for a period of time and lose for a period of time.

2/ YOUR JOB as a trader is to MANAGE RISK. Every good trading strategy WILL boil down to a 50-60% accuracy overtime and I know this from 1000’s of hours of back testing.
3/ To be profitable, follow this SIMPLE LAW:

AVERAGE WINNER > AVERAGE LOSER
Below is a table I’ve created showing the total number of winning trades (per 100) you need to win to be profitable:
4/ As the risk to reward increased the required win rate goes down. The sweet spot I’ve found is scaling out your positions and cutting your losers to get you close to 2X your average loser. In this case, you only need to win 34/100 trades in order to be profitable. YOU CAN DO IT
5/ The key to success in trading (repeat everyday):
1 – I have no attachment to any stock or instrument, my job is solely to manage risk
2 – I am a Casino; I take all trades that fit my trading plan because I know my edge is profitable
6/
3 – I always have a stop loss, target, and never risk more than 1-2% of my total trading capital
4 – I am at peace with the result of a trade before entering
5 – I understand I will take 100s of trades each year and I will not be bothered by win/loss streaks
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🚨CRASH COURSE THREAD🚨

Below YOU will find a thread to ALL my #InestrTradesCrashCourse!

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I Will continue to add content to this as I create more crash courses for you guys!

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THREAD // How I Invest

1. Successful Investing starts with Education
2. Psychology of Trading & General Rules
3. Essentials of Fundamental Analysis
4. Master Technical Analysis
5. Screening for Stocks
6. Making a Watchlist
7. Money Management
8. Diversification of Accounts

1 // Successful Investing starts with Education

Following 2000-2002, I realized that I needed an education to help me understand many of the topics mentioned in this thread.

So, I started to educated myself using books. Seek mentors as well.

Then


2 // Psychology of Trading & General Rules

Develop a working SYSTEM (for you)
Preservation of capital
Consistent profitability
Cutting losses short
Superior returns

Understanding “You”:
What is your general personality?
What influences your decisions?
What is your lifestyle?

3a // Essentials of Fundamental Analysis

Earnings Per Share:
1. % Change in Latest Qtr EPS vs. Same QTR Prior Year
2. % Increase in Next Year’s EPS Estimate vs Prior Year’s Actual EPS
3. % Change in Latest EPS, trend past several qtrs
4. Annual % EPS Growth Rate of Last 3 Years

3b // Essentials of Fundamental Analysis

Sales / Revenues
1. % Change Latest Qtr’s Sales vs. Same Qtr Prior Year
2. % Change Latest Reported Fiscal Year Sales vs. Prior Year
3. % Change in Latest Sales, trend past several qtrs
4. Annual % Sales Growth Rate of Last 3 Years

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