2/n
A thread.
Earnings Trades Simplified.
Earnings announcements are public announcements that display a company’s earnings, or lack thereof. As the earnings announcement gets closer, implied volatility tends to increase. After earnings are announced,...
1/n
2/n
Earnings trades are not for everyone, as they involve high amounts of uncertainty and random movements.
3/n
-Increase number of occurrences, many trades available so increases of our probability of profit.
-High IV opportunities
-Short term Binary event leading to drastic volatility crush.
4/n
1. Expected Move
2. When to place trade
3. Historical Moves
4. Strategies based on market conditions
5/n
Normally calculated by IV, stock price, expected move period(as no. of days) by formula
Price * IV * SQRT(days/365)
Market Makers expected move -
ATM Straddle * 0.85* =(both the sides from strike)
Both have some differences.
6/n
ATM (1140) Straddle = Rs.100 approx.
Days to expiration = 15 (29 October)
Stock Price - 1140
IV = 50%
Expected move till expiry - Rs.115 Either way from spot
Market Maker move - Rs.85 Either way from spot.
7/n
If Earnings is overnight, say tomorrow, place the order at end of the day today for better delta position.
If Earnings is during market hours, at the start of the day as the timing of the earnings can be easily switched during the course of the day.
8/n
Did the underlying in which the trade is taken historically overstated IVs are understated, in case of INFY case shown below it has understated 5/7 times in last 7 quarters after earnings.
Yellow Dotted lines are earnings days.
9/n
Only basic ones. Will explain three of them here.
1) Iron Condor - Beginner Strategy, can be used for any underlying. Basic Setup, example on INFY. Explained Iron Condor in y previous threads.
10/n
Can be used for large underlying or IV percentile > 90. Better Risk Reward than Iron Condor. Basic Setup as shown below. Sell closer strikes than Iron condor.
11/n
More from Trading
It's much more powerful than you think
9 things TradingView can do, you'll wish you knew yesterday: 🧵
Collaborated with @niki_poojary
1/ Free Multi Timeframe Analysis
Step 1. Download Vivaldi Browser
Step 2. Login to trading view
Step 3. Open bank nifty chart in 4 separate windows
Step 4. Click on the first tab and shift + click by mouse on the last tab.
Step 5. Select "Tile all 4 tabs"
What happens is you get 4 charts joint on one screen.
Refer to the attached picture.
The best part about this is this is absolutely free to do.
Also, do note:
I do not have the paid version of trading view.
2/ Free Multiple Watchlists
Go through this informative thread where @sarosijghosh teaches you how to create multiple free watchlists in the free
\U0001d5e0\U0001d602\U0001d5f9\U0001d601\U0001d5f6\U0001d5fd\U0001d5f9\U0001d5f2 \U0001d600\U0001d5f2\U0001d5f0\U0001d601\U0001d5fc\U0001d5ff \U0001d604\U0001d5ee\U0001d601\U0001d5f0\U0001d5f5\U0001d5f9\U0001d5f6\U0001d600\U0001d601 \U0001d5fc\U0001d5fb \U0001d5e7\U0001d5ff\U0001d5ee\U0001d5f1\U0001d5f6\U0001d5fb\U0001d5f4\U0001d603\U0001d5f6\U0001d5f2\U0001d604 \U0001d602\U0001d600\U0001d5f6\U0001d5fb\U0001d5f4 \U0001d601\U0001d5f5\U0001d5f2 \U0001d5d9\U0001d5e5\U0001d5d8\U0001d5d8 \U0001d603\U0001d5f2\U0001d5ff\U0001d600\U0001d5f6\U0001d5fc\U0001d5fb!
— Sarosij Ghosh (@sarosijghosh) September 18, 2021
A THREAD \U0001f9f5
Please Like and Re-Tweet. It took a lot of effort to put this together. #StockMarket #TradingView #trading #watchlist #Nifty500 #stockstowatch
3/ Free Segregation into different headers/sectors
You can create multiple sections sector-wise for free.
1. Long tap on any index/stock and click on "Add section above."
2. Secgregate the stocks/indices based on where they belong.
Kinda like how I did in the picture below.
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See this thing that @lymanstoneky wrote:
And see this thing that I wrote:
And see this book that @JamesFallows wrote:
And see this other thing that I wrote: