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Neuland Laboratories concall was today at 5:00 PM

@unseenvalue @darshanvmehta1 @drprashantmish6 @punitbansal14 @suru27 @rdkriplani

Hope customer book of Neuland to remain as booked and full just like today's conference call😂

Here are the Key takeaways from the earning call👇

 Business Updates:
• Price growth drivers were Levetiracetam and Mirtazapine.
• Commercialization of Unit 3 has begun and 2 API have been shipped in.
• Neuland has filed Donepezil based with USDFA.
Q from @unseenvalue sir: Growth opportunity in Peptide (esp. on generic)

• Involved in many molecule discovery in generic side
• Co. has seen value on generic capacity, GDS being continuous play for the company
• Co. may have partnership for generic side of business as well.
NCE Buinssess:

• Portfolio of PMS project has mix of both orphan and convectional drugs.
• Few molecules of NCE has started generating revenue and benefits of those molecule will be discovered in future.
CMS Buinsess:
• Most of the molecules in pipeline has been increased and some are even in commercialization.
• New business momentum continues to remain strong, and lot of business are attracted through referral business.
• More focus remains on the quality of the molecules.
De-risking the supply chain

• Neuland has decrease the raw material dependency from China, which was ~60% previously have been brought down to just 10% now which is also for cost competitiveness.
Unit 3:
• Current it is fairly underutlize as it has geographical larger side.
• Next 2-3 growth will be from the utilization of the Unit 3.
• Expansion will be based on growth company sees in future.
• Range of utlization stays at 75-80% with that productive plant.
Lower Margin, despite of operating leverage:
• As unit 3 is not entirely commercialize, operating leverage has not kicked in.
• With more investment and increasing capacity, there will be increase in margin.
Q from @darshanvmehta1 sir on margin under-stated
• Margin understatement is majorly more because of company wants to be conservative in terms of margins.

CAPEX- Currently company has done 80 crores for expansion and it will same next acquisition for better growth proposition.
Q from @suru27 sir on future of the business segment
• Volatility of the segment is expected to be reduced, as Prime, Speciality, CMS entire segment has received huge growth in the past, resulting in decline in volatility.
• Neuland is commanding higher margins and are expecting volatility in margins to remain on line.

• Utilziation target till FY 2022 is difficult predict as there will increasing in product block which will decrease the utilization and subsequently go up.

More from The Tycoon Mindset

The Tycoon Mindset
The Tycoon Mindset
@tycoonmindset05
Warren Buffet & Charlie Munger's wisdom on

- LTCM
- Circle of Competence (Q by @MohnishPabrai )
- Buy & Hold Strategy

Berskhire Hathaway AGM: 1999

@suru27 @ParikPatelCFA @ashishkila @ravidharamshi77 @_kirand @gauravgsgs @blitzkreigm @PuneetK009 @_anshulkhare

🧵👇

#investing


1). On LTCM:

Munger: What was interesting was how talented they were and then also got in so much trouble. It also demonstrates general system of finance involving derivatives is irresponsible.

Warren: Here you had extremely experienced people operating with their own money.

• They went broke. Why do people risk losing something very important to gain something that’s totally unimportant? The added money has no utility whatsoever.

If almost impossible to go broke without borrowed money being in the equation. No gain is good enough when there is no gain to offset the risk of loss.


2. Estimating Company’s IV

Warren: Investment is process of putting money today to get more money back in the future. The question is how far in the future, how much money and what is the appropriate discount rate to take it back to the present day and determine how much to pay?
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The Tycoon Mindset
The Tycoon Mindset
@tycoonmindset05
Aarti Drugs conducted their earnings con-call today at 4:00 PM

"Target of 4500+ cr topiline till 2025"

@unseenvalue @darshanvmehta1 @sonalbhutra @Milind4profits

Here are the key highlights 😀👇

Business Updates:
• 66.87% of revenue came from Export Market.
• Around 66% of the growth is driven by volume.
• Formulation segment grow at 5%.
• Ramping up R&D facility both for API and formulation.
• CAPEX previously planned has been in inline.

Price in API:
• In September price has gone and has stabilize and after that the price is stable.
• As per current market scenario, mgmt expects 19-20% is doable, but its still not a new normal.

CAPEX:
• Current API capacity revenue of additional 25%.
• Brown Facility and new green facility will be the main growth driver for the next 3-5 years, in order to achieve revenue target of 4,500+ cr in next 4-5 year.
• 40cr will go in this Q.
• Green field start in next year

PLI:
• Company have applied for few products, and company expects one molecule to get but this will be announced in April. This product is for capital consumption (of around 60-65 cr), and 60-65 cr will external sales.
• This will have CAPEX of 120 crores.
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The Tycoon Mindset
The Tycoon Mindset
@tycoonmindset05
How Amazon makes money?

[ Amazon's business model decoded😃]

@dmuthuk @unseenvalue @FI_InvestIndia @Vivek_Investor @drprashantmish6 @caniravkaria

🧵👇


1/ A person named Jeffery earns 100 dollars per month and has an expenditure of 120 dollars monthly. He has a very good reputation in the society. So, he takes a loan of 1k dollars for a month and this 1k cash is invested in new business ventures.

2/ For the next month, he pays his liability back by taking a loan from another person for 1.5k dollars. The loan of 1k is paid back and the remaining 500 dollars are invested in another business venture.

3/ By the end of the month, he earns 150 dollars through his old and new business ventures but has a total expenditure of 200 dollars. He again is in a deficit of 50 dollars. To pay back his 1.5k dollar loan, he takes a loan for 2k dollars

4/ This cycle goes on and on. Jeffery keeps on taking bigger loans to repay the previous loan and the leftover extra loan is invested in bigger ventures which produce more expense than income.
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The Tycoon Mindset
The Tycoon Mindset
@tycoonmindset05
Dixon Technologies con call was today at 4:00 PM.

"Company will be focusing on expenditure in R&D and disciplined capital allocation for future growth"

Here are the key takeaways of the call. 😀

@sonalbhutra @drprashantmish6 @varinder_bansal @Milind4profits @gvkreddi

🧵👇

Opening remarks

- Company had a good all around performance with highest sales.

- Growth of 120% in revenue

- EBITDA had a robust growth of 89%.

- Growth has been broad based.

- order book continues to be very strong.

- Growth is reflected across businesses.


- Overall demand outlook remains positive

- Due to global trade mismatch in commodity prices resulted in higher input cost and disturbed supply chain

- It could disturb the ODM revenue a bit


- Company is well positioned with robust balance sheet with good cash position.

- Company is focusing towards investing in people and R&D

- Company is extremely focused towards disciplined capital allocation

LED

- govt regulation has helped in growth.

- Company did well in this segment because of backward integration, operating leverage & sales of larger size tv.

- 4.4 million capacity that is 30% of India's total requirement

- Company is expanding its capacity to 5.5 millions
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The Tycoon Mindset
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@tycoonmindset05
Solara Active Pharma Science con call was today at 3:30 PM.

@Gautam__Baid @unseenvalue @drprashantmish6 @rdkriplani

Here are the key takeaways of the call. 👇🧵

Business Updates:

• Speed of filing products has been increased. Filed 5 new DMFs – 3 in US and 2 in EU
• Currently ramping up the facility in VIZAG with strong customer attraction, and will be commercialized as planned in Q3
• VIZAG EBIDTA growth guidance changed to 40%+ YoY

• Growth Driver: Broad based growth in other products and Vizag.

• PLI: Company has filed Mysore for PLI scheme for 1 molecule.

• Technology: Company is about to complete its 2 out of 3 technology, which will enhance efficiency for Solara.

Demand in some of sectors is moderated:
• Mgmt expected moderation in demand, hence company has taken necessary steps for those products.

Gross Margins:
• It was down a bit due to product mix however.

Fiscal 2022:
• Solara has grown in regulated market space.
• Vizag will kick in. CRAMS will support tailwind.
• Most of the CRAMS is commercial API.

• Most of the product is expected to be stable both in term of demand and price in the coming few quarter
SCIENCE

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Here's the strategy that I utilize on nearly 80% of my trades.

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