it seems dumb, and almost counter-intuitive to approach such a complex game like trading with such a simple approach like shapes...but maybe when markets start acting stupid its okay to dumb down our approach.
TRIANGLE MASTERCLASS - a thread.
what's the simplest, most effective method of trading a market that trends as hard as cryptocurrencies?
trendlines.
one trendline on its own is strong, but when you put two together you quickly realize just how powerful this simple tool can be.
it seems dumb, and almost counter-intuitive to approach such a complex game like trading with such a simple approach like shapes...but maybe when markets start acting stupid its okay to dumb down our approach.
anybody can draw some lines on a chart any way they'd like. sometimes, we let our bias affect our charts rather than the other way around.
i personally have done this more times than i can count.
you want a fluid bias that can change easily, rather than one relying on 10 steps of conflicting confirmation before entering a new trade
i mean, how much simpler can it be than "above this line bullish, below this line bearish" ? 😂
one trendline on its own can be enough to make a good trade, but when you put two together it can turn a good trade into a great one.
two types: halves and wholes
two directions: up and down
why are they called halves?
well...simply because they're halves of wholes.
it then becomes very simple as the direction of the side thats not flat dictates if you're bullish or bearish.
trendline up = bullish ... trendline down = bearish
it's that simple.
wholes are interesting because with halves, your trendline dictates that price will *CONTINUE* in that direction...
while with wholes your trendlines actually dictate that price will *REVERSE*
well...that wouldn't be true in every market environment.
but when you're participating in a market that trends as hard as crypto is right now...it certainly can be
the god triangle.
the way way that price cycles, momentum does as well.
coins rally, then they cool off, and then they either rally more or reverse.
it represents a continuation in trend.
so if price was going *up* into the triangle, its bullish
if price was going *down* into the triangle, its bearish
within the triangle, price is compressing.
remember price goes up, then stalls, then either keeps going up or reverses.
expansion -> compression -> expansion
you place your stoploss either below the trendline...or below the previous low that was set within the triangle
this is how you give yourself high hit-rate, high R/R plays.
the god triangle gives you the best of both worlds.
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This is bad. Continue reading why and how to avoid this in the future.
👇👇👇
2/ Before you go all rage on the flaws of my analysis, please read the whole Twitter thread for disclaimers and caveats.
3/ approve() is an unnecessary step of ERC-20 tokens when they interact with smart contracts.
You know this because when you do a Uniswap trade you need press two transaction buttons instead of one.
4/ Why there is approve() - you can read the history in this Twitter
1/ I just spend my Saturday morning on a call with a crypto fund explaining to them how #Ethereum ERC-20 token approve() function works
— \U0001f42e Mikko Ohtamaa (@moo9000) August 29, 2020
I am too old for this shit. pic.twitter.com/7EYfOaRP5L
5/ I queried all approve() transactions on Google BigQuery public dataset and calculated their ETH cost and then converted this to the USD with the current ETH price.
Bitcoin answers that question.
Thread:
1/11
— Michael Pettis (@michaelxpettis) January 11, 2021
An article worth thinking about: \u201cAs changes to the world structure accelerate, China\u2019s rule is in sharp contrast with the turmoil in the West,\u201d says Beijing.
I agree, but I draw a different conclusion. The world is certainly currently going...https://t.co/ugha7ygqqx
World economies currently suffer four major redistribution challenges:
The most important is increasing government stealth use of the monetary system to confiscate assets from productive actors.
/2
That process is exacerbated by "Cantillon Effect" transfers to interest groups close to government ("the entitled class," public sector workers, the medical industrial complex, academia, etc....), which is destroying much of that wealth /3
The shadow nature (see Keynes) of government inflation makes the process unidentifiable, un-addressable and undemocratic.
The biggest victims (America's poorly educated young) are unequipped to counter generational confiscation tactics of today's wily senior beneficiaries. /4
Government control of the numéraire in key economic statistics (GDP, inflation, etc...) makes it impossible for economic actors to measure progress and liabilities. /5
Step 1: $BTC has a huge correction. Every range starts with either a pump (or dump) and then follows with a dump (or pump). In this case, #Bitcoin pumped and is now pulling back. This is
If you want #Altseason, you should want $BTC to make a decent sized pullback. Ranges start after huge moves in both directions, IMO we need to see some cooling off before the ranging starts. Plz give 26k. #Bitcoin pic.twitter.com/yLG9xSrbKz
— Altcoin Sherpa (@AltcoinSherpa) January 3, 2021
Step 2: $BTC ranges big once it finds a bottom. This will allow it to reaccumulate for a big summer run in 2021. This is HEALTHY IMO.
Step 3: Once $BTC finds a bottom and starts to grind up again, I expect $ALTS to do very very well in both alt/usd and alt/btc pairs. ALTSZN is almost always characterized by strong alt/btc pairs moving- I've already accumulated most and have done my final buying today and more.
$BTC.D typically has a very nice time during this time of the year. I was off on December prediction bc I thought $BTC was going to pull back by then but oh well! #Altcoins will start their pumping time VERY soon now.
$BTC.D: This is the chart for inverse #Bitcoin Dominance, the macro chart you need to check out for #Altcoins and when they have their runs. Still potentially more pain to go for $ALTS but I'm thinking that they will turn around strong when $BTC is done w. its run. pic.twitter.com/Q8ewTSRywp
— Altcoin Sherpa (@AltcoinSherpa) December 27, 2020
More information on what #Altseason is and $ALTS market
Big #Altcoin thread for $ALTS: Where are we at in the cycle, how long do we have, is this #ALTSEASON, what are the relationships like, all of that. $BTC #Bitcoin $ETH $LINK #Altcoins pic.twitter.com/nwVjgZu4fw
— Altcoin Sherpa (@AltcoinSherpa) November 9, 2020
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