BC CRYPTO
Saved by @Mollyycolllinss

On Dec 18th, FinCEN announced a proposed rule that will require collection of personal information for transactions of >$3,000 sent to self-hosted wallets.
https://t.co/h1GT64oOqo

We are very concerned about this proposal @OKCoin.

Key takeaways below:

 1/ The results seem to be pre-determined.

Transparency and full public participation is needed for sound policy making on complex topics like this. However, with a shortened 15d window (holiday included) vs standard 60d, we are not getting a genuine opportunity to participate.
2/ Cyber-crime is not unique to crypto. An FBI report in June said that daily digital crime has risen 75% since March.

No evidence indicates that illicit crypto activity has risen disproportionally to threaten national security that warrants such a rush.
3/ A unique nature of #bitcoin is to transmit value without intermediary.

This is revolutionary in human history and will greatly promote financial inclusion and freedom. It would also lead to innovations and paradigm shifts that we cannot imagine today.
4/ This is the “responsible innovation” that sound policy making is supposed to protect.

It is also very nascent that needs very careful and thoughtful policy-making.
5/ However, if this proposed rule on self-hosted wallets is implemented, FINCEN registered exchanges will be forced to either non-comply or significantly increase the friction w/r/t self-hosted wallets, which are the major medium where such innovations actually happen.
6/ It is essentially slamming the door closed on crypto-related innovation in US.
7/ This proposed rule won’t succeed in “protecting national security”.

Good guys will have increased burden of compliance, less access to the system, and potential risk of data leakage.

Bad guys can off-ramp in other jurisdictions, which weakens law enforcement.
8/ Nor can this proposal be practically implemented without unintended consequences:
9/ There are fundamental differences between crypto and banking system.

The former being decentralized in nature (and by design), and therefore does not have a centralized, secure messaging network like SWIFT for Travel Rule compliance by banks.
10/ In other words, there is no practical tools available yet that allows effective identity checking while protecting individual privacy.
11/ Most concerningly, such a proposal is a serious infringement on our privacy and constitutional rights.

It would force crypto exchanges to store and hand over customer information automatically, every time, while today law enforcement has to subpoena to get such information
12/ Such monitoring may be needed where intermediaries are indispensable.

But when we are building a more sovereign financial world where trust is built into code and enabled through smart contracts, people are entitled to their financial privacy when using self-hosted wallets
13/ Like many others in the industry, we find it to be our social responsibility to have our voices heard.
14/ There are sensible voices among policy-makers, as demonstrated by @CynthiaMLummis.
https://t.co/RDxcWZLWFB

We hope that sound policy-making can finally prevail.
15/ End.

More from Crypto

Matti
Matti
@mattigags
0/ The Great Crypto Reversal

Key difference between the '17 and roaring 20s in crypto is that back then everyone was aping a16z and Naval.

Today everyone apes 3AC wanting to be the next Degen.

'17 was an idealistic *saving the world* kind of thing
20s is *me against the world*

1/ The financialization of crypto means more volatility but pretty long ascend to the top.

Multi-year bull and an ATH surprising even to the biggest bulls as the infinite Cantillon "wealth" is pumped into crypto

Crypto becomes the ultimate Cantillon insider circle-jerk.

2/ This will be one the most iconic ideological reversals in history, comparable to Google who was firmly against advertising but turned into the most powerful ad company ever.


3/ This scenario reminds me of the 90s privatization period in the post-socialist countries.

The regime transition allowed the communist party elite to benefit from the wild west form of "capitalism" that ensued, transferring (and multiplying) their wealth into the new regime.

4/ We are far from Satoshi's original vision . But words and intentions of *prophets* were used to manipulate and corrupt all throughout human history and this time it is no
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The TIE
The TIE
@TheTIEIO
1/

So what actually moves the prices of cryptocurrencies? We spent over a month parsing through data to answer that question for you 👀👀

Special thanks to @eToroUS for partnering with us on this research

A thread:

2/

Leveraging The TIE’s Crypto SigDev™ feed we set out to identify whether news moved the crypto market and what, if any, impact sentiment had following key announcements.

SigDevs are news on token updates or major events (like M&A and Listings).

3/

Looking at ​maximum price increases within 24 hours after different SigDev announcements, we see that certain announcements tend to procure more responses than others. These are ordered from left to right in order of increasing average positive effect on price.


4/

These initial results are intuitive: one would expect 51% attacks — a negative assault on a blockchain — to not typically have a positive effect on price, while getting listed on a new exchange (“L​isting​”) increases demand for a cryptocurrency and thus should increase value

5/

Although Listings and Partnerships have an immediate large influence on price, it does not mean the increase is sustained.

We looked at how sustainable each SigDev was. Specifically, the max price 24 hours after each SigDev compared to the following week's average price
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Jos\xe9 Maria Macedo
José Maria Macedo
@ZeMariaMacedo
While my time investing in crypto and previously playing poker has gotten me used to experiencing large daily personal net worth volatility, it's never a pleasant experience

Short thread (by my standards...) with some ramblings that help me get through it 👇

1/10 Imo, some DeFi projects represent 10-1000x upside opportunities

Obviously, like all of crypto, it is extremely risky and can go to 0. That said, given the magnitude of potential outcomes, it just doesn't have to succeed that often to make it a massively +EV bet

2/10 As with all early stage tech, realising these outcomes will require 4-8 year holds

Unlike early stage tech, crypto investors will have liquidity, i.e. the possibility, and thus the temptation, to sell

This is both a blessing and a curse

3/10 A look at any of the best performing public stocks will show you that you cannot have 10-1000x upside potential without volatiliy and occasional large drawdowns

Crypto, as early stage tech, is much riskier than established public companies and thus even higher vol too

4/10 Obviously, one should take advantage of this liquidity as it allows for rebalancing. Most importantly, it also makes outcomes less binary and thus less volatile than traditional VC

However, one should not let the liquidity take advantage of us
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Dr. Liyana Mohtar
Dr. Liyana Mohtar
@LiyanaMohtar
Here's my 2021 Crypto Strategy:

Note: Not a financial advice. It is just my opinion after doing my own research (#DYOR). I'm a complete newbie btw.

1. Dollar-Cost-Averaging (DCA) for these 6 coins (HODL)
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Ethereum (ETH)
- Polka Dot (DOT)
- Cardano (ADA)
- Binance (BNB)
- Litecoin (LTC)

I choose these 6 bcs they are all TOP 10 Coins, they have the biggest market cap which means less risky than other coins.


DCA means I'm going to topup for all of these coins everytime ada duit lebih/dapat gaji.

But I will only buy when price dip / during correction

How to know when price dipped?

I use TradingView (free version) - guna RMI and Stoch indicator, if it touches the lower line it means it have been oversold - under 4h timeframe (because I'm a long term investor). This is to avoid buying at the top.

For example:

This is Bitcoin on TradingView. Under 4h Timeframe, indicator RMI & Stoch. I'll buy when RMI and Stoch touches the lower line. Boleh nampak lepas buy at dip, the price terus naik.
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James Ward
James Ward
@JamesWard73
You may be wondering why @bristoliver rather cryptically RT’d a chart that I posted last night. The answer is not just that he loves quadratic fits on log axes, but that this chart may –and I stress may– hint at a vaccine effect amongst the over 80s THREAD


WARNING: this is a long thread, and it’s a bit of a roller-coaster. We find some apparently strong patterns in the data, and then start to unpick them a bit. So if you start getting excited half way through you might find you’re less excited at the end. But we’ll see…

First we first have to go back a bit. @bristoliver posted a thread a few days ago explaining why, with a constant vaccination rate, a log plot of cases should show a quadratic form. In other words, it should fit an equation like: a + b.x + c.x^2

I meant to link in the model thread there - here it is


the quadratic coefficient – the ‘c’ in that equation – gives an estimate of the % of the population who are being newly protected by the vaccine each day. Please note ‘protected by the vaccine’, not ‘vaccinated’ – as we don't expect 100% protection after the first dose
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What does Gold- Backed mean?
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In this masterclass we will learn the pre-requisites to enter a trade.

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Please share.

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Generally a set of reasons AKA confluence is a higher probability trade and a generally a safer entry.

Example of an entry trigger.


2. Stop Loss.

The price in the opposite direction of the trade where the trade is exited, at a loss.

At this level, the reason for the entry becomes invalidated according to TA and the price can then move in the opposite direction, probabilistically.


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@drawandstrike
Here is Editor-in-Chief of the @EpochTimes, @JasperFakkert's response to the slanted hit piece that @Buzzfeed's @HayesBrown put up 2 days ago:

Brown's article at Buzzfeed starts off pretending it's some kind of really off-the-wall notion that Hillary Clinton paid for the creation of the Steele Dossier that was then used to justify the FBI's spying on the Trump campaign & transition team.


After that awful start, he swerves to making accusations that the Epoch Times is connected to the 'cult' Falon Gong.

You can read the article here:

Brown insinuates with no real evidence whatsoever that the Epoch Times is 'Falon Gong-linked'.

The 'evidence' he supplies in his article to 'prove' @EpochTimes is 'Falon Gong-linked is this:

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Gal Gur 🇮🇱...
@GalGur_
1/
Hello, my name is Gal,
I am an Israeli citizen, and I want to convey this urgent message to the world: Contrary to what you are told, Israel has not "returned to normal" in any way >>

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3/ to which is the foundation for coercion, violation of basic rights, severe discrimination under a "green mark (pass)", prolonged closure (Of about 5 months overall) and a lot of undemocratic and not “routine" restrictions. >

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Zen Black
@z3nblack
1/ Thread: "A Silicon Valley Ponzi Scheme"

Thanks to @chamath for laying this out in Social Capital's 2018 annual letter.

I've always appreciated his outspokenness.

2/ The hardest thing for most startups today is the path to market: first finding product-market fit & a way to reach customers, then building a ruthless machine to acquire, monetize & retain them.

3/ Because of this, when the VC industry invests capital into fast growing startups today, the plurality (if not majority) of invested capital will go into user acquisition and ad spending, for better or worse— usually worse.

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This is creating a big bill that will soon come due...

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